Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 53% implied probability for Panama City, Florida's highest temperature reaching 33°C (91°F) or higher on May 8, driven by the latest GFS and ECMWF ensemble forecasts showing consensus highs near 92°F under a strengthening subtropical ridge promoting sunny skies and radiative heating. This positioning reflects recent model trends over the past 48 hours trending hotter amid persistently warm Gulf of Mexico sea surface temperatures around 28°C—above seasonal norms—and minimal precipitation risk. NOAA's Climate Prediction Center seasonal outlook favors above-average temperatures for the Southeast in early May 2026, consistent with emerging El Niño influences that typically enhance regional heat. The National Weather Service's next update on May 7 could shift odds as uncertainty in afternoon cloud cover and sea breeze effects persists.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Panama City on May 8?
Highest temperature in Panama City on May 8?
33°C or higher 50%
32°C 32%
31°C 9%
30°C 4.5%
NUEVO
NUEVO
8 may 2026
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
1%
27°C
1%
28°C
1%
29°C
1%
30°C
4%
31°C
9%
32°C
27%
33°C or higher
53%
33°C or higher 50%
32°C 32%
31°C 9%
30°C 4.5%
NUEVO
NUEVO
8 may 2026
23°C or below
$1,392 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$157 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$224 Vol.
1%
26°C
$357 Vol.
1%
27°C
$426 Vol.
1%
28°C
$486 Vol.
1%
29°C
$293 Vol.
1%
30°C
$399 Vol.
4%
31°C
$38 Vol.
9%
32°C
$15 Vol.
27%
33°C or higher
$47 Vol.
53%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 53% implied probability for Panama City, Florida's highest temperature reaching 33°C (91°F) or higher on May 8, driven by the latest GFS and ECMWF ensemble forecasts showing consensus highs near 92°F under a strengthening subtropical ridge promoting sunny skies and radiative heating. This positioning reflects recent model trends over the past 48 hours trending hotter amid persistently warm Gulf of Mexico sea surface temperatures around 28°C—above seasonal norms—and minimal precipitation risk. NOAA's Climate Prediction Center seasonal outlook favors above-average temperatures for the Southeast in early May 2026, consistent with emerging El Niño influences that typically enhance regional heat. The National Weather Service's next update on May 7 could shift odds as uncertainty in afternoon cloud cover and sea breeze effects persists.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: May 6, 2026, 12:32 AM ET
Volumen
$3,834Fecha de finalización
8 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 6, 2026, 12:32 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMGResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 53% implied probability for Panama City, Florida's highest temperature reaching 33°C (91°F) or higher on May 8, driven by the latest GFS and ECMWF ensemble forecasts showing consensus highs near 92°F under a strengthening subtropical ridge promoting sunny skies and radiative heating. This positioning reflects recent model trends over the past 48 hours trending hotter amid persistently warm Gulf of Mexico sea surface temperatures around 28°C—above seasonal norms—and minimal precipitation risk. NOAA's Climate Prediction Center seasonal outlook favors above-average temperatures for the Southeast in early May 2026, consistent with emerging El Niño influences that typically enhance regional heat. The National Weather Service's next update on May 7 could shift odds as uncertainty in afternoon cloud cover and sea breeze effects persists.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$3,834Fecha de finalización
8 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 6, 2026, 12:32 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMGResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 53% implied probability for Panama City, Florida's highest temperature reaching 33°C (91°F) or higher on May 8, driven by the latest GFS and ECMWF ensemble forecasts showing consensus highs near 92°F under a strengthening subtropical ridge promoting sunny skies and radiative heating. This positioning reflects recent model trends over the past 48 hours trending hotter amid persistently warm Gulf of Mexico sea surface temperatures around 28°C—above seasonal norms—and minimal precipitation risk. NOAA's Climate Prediction Center seasonal outlook favors above-average temperatures for the Southeast in early May 2026, consistent with emerging El Niño influences that typically enhance regional heat. The National Weather Service's next update on May 7 could shift odds as uncertainty in afternoon cloud cover and sea breeze effects persists.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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