National Weather Service forecasts indicate Seattle's high temperature on May 15 will reach near 56°F under mostly cloudy skies with scattered showers and south southwest winds of 10-15 mph, driving the 93% market-implied probability for 57°F or below as traders align with this strong consensus from NOAA model ensembles showing tight clustering in the mid-50s. Persistent cool maritime air advection from the Pacific, enhanced by an upper-level trough, limits insolation and keeps readings well below the May climatological average of 63-65°F, following a sharp cooldown from early-month record heat above 80°F. Realistic challenges include unexpected clearing or faster front passage allowing brief ridging and downslope warming, though low-probability scenarios per current guidance; monitor overnight GFS/ECMWF updates for shifts ahead of resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Seattle el 15 de mayo?
¿La temperatura más alta en Seattle el 15 de mayo?
57°F o menos 94%
58-59°F 6.8%
60-61°F 1.2%
62-63°F <1%
NUEVO
$16,031 Vol.
NUEVO
$16,031 Vol.
15 may 2026
57°F o menos
94%
58-59°F
7%
60-61°F
1%
62-63°F
1%
64-65°F
<1%
66-67°F
<1%
68-69°F
<1%
70-71°F
<1%
72-73°F
<1%
74-75°F
<1%
76°F o más
<1%
57°F o menos 94%
58-59°F 6.8%
60-61°F 1.2%
62-63°F <1%
NUEVO
$16,031 Vol.
NUEVO
$16,031 Vol.
15 may 2026
57°F o menos
$1,847 Vol.
94%
58-59°F
$2,878 Vol.
7%
60-61°F
$2,231 Vol.
1%
62-63°F
$1,269 Vol.
1%
64-65°F
$850 Vol.
<1%
66-67°F
$1,533 Vol.
<1%
68-69°F
$1,187 Vol.
<1%
70-71°F
$995 Vol.
<1%
72-73°F
$1,025 Vol.
<1%
74-75°F
$1,337 Vol.
<1%
76°F o más
$880 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.National Weather Service forecasts indicate Seattle's high temperature on May 15 will reach near 56°F under mostly cloudy skies with scattered showers and south southwest winds of 10-15 mph, driving the 93% market-implied probability for 57°F or below as traders align with this strong consensus from NOAA model ensembles showing tight clustering in the mid-50s. Persistent cool maritime air advection from the Pacific, enhanced by an upper-level trough, limits insolation and keeps readings well below the May climatological average of 63-65°F, following a sharp cooldown from early-month record heat above 80°F. Realistic challenges include unexpected clearing or faster front passage allowing brief ridging and downslope warming, though low-probability scenarios per current guidance; monitor overnight GFS/ECMWF updates for shifts ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: May 13, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Volumen
$16,031Fecha de finalización
15 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 13, 2026, 12:05 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.National Weather Service forecasts indicate Seattle's high temperature on May 15 will reach near 56°F under mostly cloudy skies with scattered showers and south southwest winds of 10-15 mph, driving the 93% market-implied probability for 57°F or below as traders align with this strong consensus from NOAA model ensembles showing tight clustering in the mid-50s. Persistent cool maritime air advection from the Pacific, enhanced by an upper-level trough, limits insolation and keeps readings well below the May climatological average of 63-65°F, following a sharp cooldown from early-month record heat above 80°F. Realistic challenges include unexpected clearing or faster front passage allowing brief ridging and downslope warming, though low-probability scenarios per current guidance; monitor overnight GFS/ECMWF updates for shifts ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$16,031Fecha de finalización
15 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 13, 2026, 12:05 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEAResolver
0x69c47De9D...National Weather Service forecasts indicate Seattle's high temperature on May 15 will reach near 56°F under mostly cloudy skies with scattered showers and south southwest winds of 10-15 mph, driving the 93% market-implied probability for 57°F or below as traders align with this strong consensus from NOAA model ensembles showing tight clustering in the mid-50s. Persistent cool maritime air advection from the Pacific, enhanced by an upper-level trough, limits insolation and keeps readings well below the May climatological average of 63-65°F, following a sharp cooldown from early-month record heat above 80°F. Realistic challenges include unexpected clearing or faster front passage allowing brief ridging and downslope warming, though low-probability scenarios per current guidance; monitor overnight GFS/ECMWF updates for shifts ahead of resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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