Trader consensus on Polymarket favors a high temperature of 58-59°F (39% implied probability) in Seattle today, closely tracking National Weather Service forecasts of mostly cloudy conditions with highs near 57-62°F amid persistent onshore flow. This positioning stems from a thickened marine layer—low stratus clouds advected from the cool Pacific Ocean—suppressing daytime heating, as observed in current mid-50s readings at Seattle-Tacoma International Airport (KSEA). Recent model runs from GFS and ECMWF show little disagreement, with southwesterly winds 10-15 mph preventing significant mixing or clearing, contrasting May climatological averages around 64°F. Key uncertainty lies in potential afternoon burn-off; watch hourly KSEA observations for resolution, with updates from NWS Seattle expected this evening.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Seattle on May 14?
Highest temperature in Seattle on May 14?
58-59°F 55%
56-57°F 27%
60-61°F 17%
62-63°F 8%
NUEVO
$35,842 Vol.
NUEVO
$35,842 Vol.
14 may 2026
55°F or below
4%
56-57°F
27%
58-59°F
55%
60-61°F
17%
62-63°F
8%
64-65°F
<1%
66-67°F
<1%
68-69°F
<1%
70-71°F
<1%
72-73°F
<1%
74°F or higher
<1%
58-59°F 55%
56-57°F 27%
60-61°F 17%
62-63°F 8%
NUEVO
$35,842 Vol.
NUEVO
$35,842 Vol.
14 may 2026
55°F or below
$7,405 Vol.
4%
56-57°F
$5,939 Vol.
27%
58-59°F
$2,392 Vol.
55%
60-61°F
$3,822 Vol.
17%
62-63°F
$3,487 Vol.
8%
64-65°F
$3,066 Vol.
<1%
66-67°F
$2,255 Vol.
<1%
68-69°F
$1,881 Vol.
<1%
70-71°F
$1,955 Vol.
<1%
72-73°F
$1,673 Vol.
<1%
74°F or higher
$2,052 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket favors a high temperature of 58-59°F (39% implied probability) in Seattle today, closely tracking National Weather Service forecasts of mostly cloudy conditions with highs near 57-62°F amid persistent onshore flow. This positioning stems from a thickened marine layer—low stratus clouds advected from the cool Pacific Ocean—suppressing daytime heating, as observed in current mid-50s readings at Seattle-Tacoma International Airport (KSEA). Recent model runs from GFS and ECMWF show little disagreement, with southwesterly winds 10-15 mph preventing significant mixing or clearing, contrasting May climatological averages around 64°F. Key uncertainty lies in potential afternoon burn-off; watch hourly KSEA observations for resolution, with updates from NWS Seattle expected this evening.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: May 12, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Volumen
$35,842Fecha de finalización
14 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 12, 2026, 12:05 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket favors a high temperature of 58-59°F (39% implied probability) in Seattle today, closely tracking National Weather Service forecasts of mostly cloudy conditions with highs near 57-62°F amid persistent onshore flow. This positioning stems from a thickened marine layer—low stratus clouds advected from the cool Pacific Ocean—suppressing daytime heating, as observed in current mid-50s readings at Seattle-Tacoma International Airport (KSEA). Recent model runs from GFS and ECMWF show little disagreement, with southwesterly winds 10-15 mph preventing significant mixing or clearing, contrasting May climatological averages around 64°F. Key uncertainty lies in potential afternoon burn-off; watch hourly KSEA observations for resolution, with updates from NWS Seattle expected this evening.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$35,842Fecha de finalización
14 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 12, 2026, 12:05 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket favors a high temperature of 58-59°F (39% implied probability) in Seattle today, closely tracking National Weather Service forecasts of mostly cloudy conditions with highs near 57-62°F amid persistent onshore flow. This positioning stems from a thickened marine layer—low stratus clouds advected from the cool Pacific Ocean—suppressing daytime heating, as observed in current mid-50s readings at Seattle-Tacoma International Airport (KSEA). Recent model runs from GFS and ECMWF show little disagreement, with southwesterly winds 10-15 mph preventing significant mixing or clearing, contrasting May climatological averages around 64°F. Key uncertainty lies in potential afternoon burn-off; watch hourly KSEA observations for resolution, with updates from NWS Seattle expected this evening.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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