Trader consensus on Polymarket places a 51.5% implied probability on a San Francisco high of 64-65°F today, driven by the latest National Weather Service guidance and GFS/ECMWF ensemble model runs projecting mid-60s peaks amid persistent marine layer influence. This cool, moist stratus deck—adverted onshore by moderate west winds from the cool Pacific—typically caps coastal highs below climatological May averages of 65-67°F at San Francisco International Airport (KSFO), the likely resolution station. Recent observational trends show overnight lows near 52°F, limiting daytime warming potential, while partial burn-off could nudge toward 66-67°F (17% odds). Monitor hourly updates through afternoon, as deeper marine intrusion or clearer skies might shift outcomes before evening resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en San Francisco el 1 de mayo?
¿La temperatura más alta en San Francisco el 1 de mayo?
64-65°F 51.5%
62-63°F 26.2%
66-67°F 17%
68°F o más 5%
$12,267 Vol.
$12,267 Vol.
1 may 2026
49°F o menos
<1%
50-51°F
<1%
52-53°F
<1%
54-55°F
<1%
56-57°F
1%
58-59°F
1%
60-61°F
3%
62-63°F
26%
64-65°F
52%
66-67°F
17%
68°F o más
5%
64-65°F 51.5%
62-63°F 26.2%
66-67°F 17%
68°F o más 5%
$12,267 Vol.
$12,267 Vol.
1 may 2026
49°F o menos
$199 Vol.
<1%
50-51°F
$178 Vol.
<1%
52-53°F
$901 Vol.
<1%
54-55°F
$1,431 Vol.
<1%
56-57°F
$435 Vol.
1%
58-59°F
$1,324 Vol.
1%
60-61°F
$1,845 Vol.
3%
62-63°F
$1,192 Vol.
26%
64-65°F
$1,095 Vol.
52%
66-67°F
$1,405 Vol.
17%
68°F o más
$2,262 Vol.
5%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 1 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket places a 51.5% implied probability on a San Francisco high of 64-65°F today, driven by the latest National Weather Service guidance and GFS/ECMWF ensemble model runs projecting mid-60s peaks amid persistent marine layer influence. This cool, moist stratus deck—adverted onshore by moderate west winds from the cool Pacific—typically caps coastal highs below climatological May averages of 65-67°F at San Francisco International Airport (KSFO), the likely resolution station. Recent observational trends show overnight lows near 52°F, limiting daytime warming potential, while partial burn-off could nudge toward 66-67°F (17% odds). Monitor hourly updates through afternoon, as deeper marine intrusion or clearer skies might shift outcomes before evening resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 1 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Apr 29, 2026, 12:08 AM ET
Volumen
$12,267Fecha de finalización
1 may 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 29, 2026, 12:08 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFOResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 1 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket places a 51.5% implied probability on a San Francisco high of 64-65°F today, driven by the latest National Weather Service guidance and GFS/ECMWF ensemble model runs projecting mid-60s peaks amid persistent marine layer influence. This cool, moist stratus deck—adverted onshore by moderate west winds from the cool Pacific—typically caps coastal highs below climatological May averages of 65-67°F at San Francisco International Airport (KSFO), the likely resolution station. Recent observational trends show overnight lows near 52°F, limiting daytime warming potential, while partial burn-off could nudge toward 66-67°F (17% odds). Monitor hourly updates through afternoon, as deeper marine intrusion or clearer skies might shift outcomes before evening resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 1 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$12,267Fecha de finalización
1 may 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 29, 2026, 12:08 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFOResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket places a 51.5% implied probability on a San Francisco high of 64-65°F today, driven by the latest National Weather Service guidance and GFS/ECMWF ensemble model runs projecting mid-60s peaks amid persistent marine layer influence. This cool, moist stratus deck—adverted onshore by moderate west winds from the cool Pacific—typically caps coastal highs below climatological May averages of 65-67°F at San Francisco International Airport (KSFO), the likely resolution station. Recent observational trends show overnight lows near 52°F, limiting daytime warming potential, while partial burn-off could nudge toward 66-67°F (17% odds). Monitor hourly updates through afternoon, as deeper marine intrusion or clearer skies might shift outcomes before evening resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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