Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors 32°C or higher (82% implied probability) for Panama City’s highest temperature at Marcos A. Gelabert International Airport today, driven by the latest forecast models projecting afternoon peaks of 32–33°C amid partly sunny skies and light northerly winds at 10–15 km/h. Early morning observations show overnight lows near 25°C with rapid diurnal heating under high solar insolation typical of May’s transitional rainy season, where subsidence from a weak high-pressure ridge suppresses clouds initially. Consensus from ECMWF, GFS, and local Instituto de Meteorología e Hidrología de Panamá guidance aligns on these conditions, exceeding the monthly average high of ~31°C. A 13.5% chance on 31°C reflects uncertainty from potential isolated afternoon thunderstorms capping intensity, with airport hourly reports through 4 PM local time providing key updates.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Panama City on May 14?
Highest temperature in Panama City on May 14?
32°C or higher 82%
31°C 14%
30°C 1.8%
28°C <1%
NUEVO
NUEVO
14 may 2026
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
1%
30°C
2%
31°C
14%
32°C or higher
82%
32°C or higher 82%
31°C 14%
30°C 1.8%
28°C <1%
NUEVO
NUEVO
14 may 2026
22°C or below
$702 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$613 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$618 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$621 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$857 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$519 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$331 Vol.
1%
29°C
$409 Vol.
1%
30°C
$821 Vol.
2%
31°C
$1,049 Vol.
14%
32°C or higher
$1,081 Vol.
82%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors 32°C or higher (82% implied probability) for Panama City’s highest temperature at Marcos A. Gelabert International Airport today, driven by the latest forecast models projecting afternoon peaks of 32–33°C amid partly sunny skies and light northerly winds at 10–15 km/h. Early morning observations show overnight lows near 25°C with rapid diurnal heating under high solar insolation typical of May’s transitional rainy season, where subsidence from a weak high-pressure ridge suppresses clouds initially. Consensus from ECMWF, GFS, and local Instituto de Meteorología e Hidrología de Panamá guidance aligns on these conditions, exceeding the monthly average high of ~31°C. A 13.5% chance on 31°C reflects uncertainty from potential isolated afternoon thunderstorms capping intensity, with airport hourly reports through 4 PM local time providing key updates.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: May 12, 2026, 12:25 AM ET
Volumen
$7,621Fecha de finalización
14 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 12, 2026, 12:25 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMGResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors 32°C or higher (82% implied probability) for Panama City’s highest temperature at Marcos A. Gelabert International Airport today, driven by the latest forecast models projecting afternoon peaks of 32–33°C amid partly sunny skies and light northerly winds at 10–15 km/h. Early morning observations show overnight lows near 25°C with rapid diurnal heating under high solar insolation typical of May’s transitional rainy season, where subsidence from a weak high-pressure ridge suppresses clouds initially. Consensus from ECMWF, GFS, and local Instituto de Meteorología e Hidrología de Panamá guidance aligns on these conditions, exceeding the monthly average high of ~31°C. A 13.5% chance on 31°C reflects uncertainty from potential isolated afternoon thunderstorms capping intensity, with airport hourly reports through 4 PM local time providing key updates.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$7,621Fecha de finalización
14 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 12, 2026, 12:25 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMGResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors 32°C or higher (82% implied probability) for Panama City’s highest temperature at Marcos A. Gelabert International Airport today, driven by the latest forecast models projecting afternoon peaks of 32–33°C amid partly sunny skies and light northerly winds at 10–15 km/h. Early morning observations show overnight lows near 25°C with rapid diurnal heating under high solar insolation typical of May’s transitional rainy season, where subsidence from a weak high-pressure ridge suppresses clouds initially. Consensus from ECMWF, GFS, and local Instituto de Meteorología e Hidrología de Panamá guidance aligns on these conditions, exceeding the monthly average high of ~31°C. A 13.5% chance on 31°C reflects uncertainty from potential isolated afternoon thunderstorms capping intensity, with airport hourly reports through 4 PM local time providing key updates.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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