Trader consensus on Polymarket prices 22°C at 39.5% implied probability as the leading outcome for Moscow's May 14 high temperature, closely trailed by 21°C (31.5%) and 23°C (20.5%), reflecting tight agreement in the latest ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts projecting daytime maxima of 20-23°C under a stable high-pressure ridge with southerly winds and partial cloud cover. Roshydromet guidance aligns at around 22°C, with light rain showers possible in the afternoon that could cap peak heating, while fuller sunshine might nudge toward 23°C via enhanced insolation. Current early-morning observations show 14°C under partly cloudy skies, above the mid-May climatological average of 18°C; resolution hinges on official Roshydromet station readings through afternoon peak hours (1400-1600 UTC), amid inherent 1-2°C model spread from cloud variability and urban heat effects.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Moscow on May 14?
Highest temperature in Moscow on May 14?
22°C 40%
21°C 31%
23°C 23%
20°C 10%
NUEVO
$12,598 Vol.
NUEVO
$12,598 Vol.
14 may 2026
17°C or below
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
2%
20°C
10%
21°C
31%
22°C
40%
23°C
23%
24°C
3%
25°C
1%
26°C
1%
27°C or higher
<1%
22°C 40%
21°C 31%
23°C 23%
20°C 10%
NUEVO
$12,598 Vol.
NUEVO
$12,598 Vol.
14 may 2026
17°C or below
$2,085 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$1,302 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$1,237 Vol.
2%
20°C
$1,772 Vol.
10%
21°C
$534 Vol.
31%
22°C
$545 Vol.
40%
23°C
$524 Vol.
23%
24°C
$916 Vol.
3%
25°C
$1,343 Vol.
1%
26°C
$551 Vol.
1%
27°C or higher
$1,936 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices 22°C at 39.5% implied probability as the leading outcome for Moscow's May 14 high temperature, closely trailed by 21°C (31.5%) and 23°C (20.5%), reflecting tight agreement in the latest ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts projecting daytime maxima of 20-23°C under a stable high-pressure ridge with southerly winds and partial cloud cover. Roshydromet guidance aligns at around 22°C, with light rain showers possible in the afternoon that could cap peak heating, while fuller sunshine might nudge toward 23°C via enhanced insolation. Current early-morning observations show 14°C under partly cloudy skies, above the mid-May climatological average of 18°C; resolution hinges on official Roshydromet station readings through afternoon peak hours (1400-1600 UTC), amid inherent 1-2°C model spread from cloud variability and urban heat effects.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: May 12, 2026, 12:21 AM ET
Volumen
$12,598Fecha de finalización
14 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 12, 2026, 12:21 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices 22°C at 39.5% implied probability as the leading outcome for Moscow's May 14 high temperature, closely trailed by 21°C (31.5%) and 23°C (20.5%), reflecting tight agreement in the latest ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts projecting daytime maxima of 20-23°C under a stable high-pressure ridge with southerly winds and partial cloud cover. Roshydromet guidance aligns at around 22°C, with light rain showers possible in the afternoon that could cap peak heating, while fuller sunshine might nudge toward 23°C via enhanced insolation. Current early-morning observations show 14°C under partly cloudy skies, above the mid-May climatological average of 18°C; resolution hinges on official Roshydromet station readings through afternoon peak hours (1400-1600 UTC), amid inherent 1-2°C model spread from cloud variability and urban heat effects.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$12,598Fecha de finalización
14 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 12, 2026, 12:21 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices 22°C at 39.5% implied probability as the leading outcome for Moscow's May 14 high temperature, closely trailed by 21°C (31.5%) and 23°C (20.5%), reflecting tight agreement in the latest ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts projecting daytime maxima of 20-23°C under a stable high-pressure ridge with southerly winds and partial cloud cover. Roshydromet guidance aligns at around 22°C, with light rain showers possible in the afternoon that could cap peak heating, while fuller sunshine might nudge toward 23°C via enhanced insolation. Current early-morning observations show 14°C under partly cloudy skies, above the mid-May climatological average of 18°C; resolution hinges on official Roshydromet station readings through afternoon peak hours (1400-1600 UTC), amid inherent 1-2°C model spread from cloud variability and urban heat effects.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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