Latest forecast model consensus from ECMWF, GFS, and ARPA Lombardia projects Milan highs of 23-26°C on May 2 under a strengthening high-pressure ridge over northern Italy, fostering clear skies and enhanced solar insolation for peak afternoon heating around 2-4 PM local time. This shift follows April's warming trend—marked by highs nearing 26°C late last month—and a recent ARPA bulletin noting gradual temperature rises to 20°C+ in Lombardy plains by weekend, boosting trader sentiment for 24°C (41.5% implied probability) as the peak, with 23°C close behind. Urban heat island effects at measurement sites like Linate airport further favor the upper end of climatological early-May averages (~22°C). New model runs overnight and May 1 observations could refine uncertainties from potential afternoon clouds or light winds.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Milan on May 2?
Highest temperature in Milan on May 2?
24°C 41%
23°C 32%
25°C 15%
22°C 10%
NUEVO
NUEVO
2 may 2026
16°C or below
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
1%
22°C
10%
23°C
32%
24°C
41%
25°C
15%
26°C or higher
6%
24°C 41%
23°C 32%
25°C 15%
22°C 10%
NUEVO
NUEVO
2 may 2026
16°C or below
$1,040 Vol.
<1%
17°C
$586 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$574 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$548 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$733 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$1,243 Vol.
1%
22°C
$522 Vol.
10%
23°C
$1,222 Vol.
32%
24°C
$742 Vol.
41%
25°C
$1,323 Vol.
15%
26°C or higher
$781 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest forecast model consensus from ECMWF, GFS, and ARPA Lombardia projects Milan highs of 23-26°C on May 2 under a strengthening high-pressure ridge over northern Italy, fostering clear skies and enhanced solar insolation for peak afternoon heating around 2-4 PM local time. This shift follows April's warming trend—marked by highs nearing 26°C late last month—and a recent ARPA bulletin noting gradual temperature rises to 20°C+ in Lombardy plains by weekend, boosting trader sentiment for 24°C (41.5% implied probability) as the peak, with 23°C close behind. Urban heat island effects at measurement sites like Linate airport further favor the upper end of climatological early-May averages (~22°C). New model runs overnight and May 1 observations could refine uncertainties from potential afternoon clouds or light winds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Apr 30, 2026, 12:07 AM ET
Volumen
$9,279Fecha de finalización
2 may 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 30, 2026, 12:07 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest forecast model consensus from ECMWF, GFS, and ARPA Lombardia projects Milan highs of 23-26°C on May 2 under a strengthening high-pressure ridge over northern Italy, fostering clear skies and enhanced solar insolation for peak afternoon heating around 2-4 PM local time. This shift follows April's warming trend—marked by highs nearing 26°C late last month—and a recent ARPA bulletin noting gradual temperature rises to 20°C+ in Lombardy plains by weekend, boosting trader sentiment for 24°C (41.5% implied probability) as the peak, with 23°C close behind. Urban heat island effects at measurement sites like Linate airport further favor the upper end of climatological early-May averages (~22°C). New model runs overnight and May 1 observations could refine uncertainties from potential afternoon clouds or light winds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$9,279Fecha de finalización
2 may 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 30, 2026, 12:07 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest forecast model consensus from ECMWF, GFS, and ARPA Lombardia projects Milan highs of 23-26°C on May 2 under a strengthening high-pressure ridge over northern Italy, fostering clear skies and enhanced solar insolation for peak afternoon heating around 2-4 PM local time. This shift follows April's warming trend—marked by highs nearing 26°C late last month—and a recent ARPA bulletin noting gradual temperature rises to 20°C+ in Lombardy plains by weekend, boosting trader sentiment for 24°C (41.5% implied probability) as the peak, with 23°C close behind. Urban heat island effects at measurement sites like Linate airport further favor the upper end of climatological early-May averages (~22°C). New model runs overnight and May 1 observations could refine uncertainties from potential afternoon clouds or light winds.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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