Trader consensus on Polymarket implies a highest temperature around 17°C at Milan Malpensa International Airport today, driven by the latest short-range forecasts from Italy's Aeronautica Militare weather service and regional models like those on IlMeteo.it, projecting peaks of 17-18°C amid scattered showers and persistent cloud cover. A low-pressure system over northern Italy has introduced cooler northerly flows and reduced insolation since yesterday's warmer conditions (forecast near 19°C), suppressing daytime heating below the mid-May climatological average of 21-22°C. Ensemble outputs from ECMWF and GFS show tight clustering in the 16-18°C range, though genuine uncertainty persists with potential for brief clearings to nudge higher; hourly observations will refine this as the day progresses toward evening resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Milan on May 14?
Highest temperature in Milan on May 14?
17°C 37%
16°C 27%
18°C 18%
19°C 13.3%
$30,094 Vol.
$30,094 Vol.
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
1%
14°C
1%
15°C
8%
16°C
27%
17°C
37%
18°C
18%
19°C
13%
20°C or higher
5%
17°C 37%
16°C 27%
18°C 18%
19°C 13.3%
$30,094 Vol.
$30,094 Vol.
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
1%
14°C
1%
15°C
8%
16°C
27%
17°C
37%
18°C
18%
19°C
13%
20°C or higher
5%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: May 12, 2026, 12:07 AM ET
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket implies a highest temperature around 17°C at Milan Malpensa International Airport today, driven by the latest short-range forecasts from Italy's Aeronautica Militare weather service and regional models like those on IlMeteo.it, projecting peaks of 17-18°C amid scattered showers and persistent cloud cover. A low-pressure system over northern Italy has introduced cooler northerly flows and reduced insolation since yesterday's warmer conditions (forecast near 19°C), suppressing daytime heating below the mid-May climatological average of 21-22°C. Ensemble outputs from ECMWF and GFS show tight clustering in the 16-18°C range, though genuine uncertainty persists with potential for brief clearings to nudge higher; hourly observations will refine this as the day progresses toward evening resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes