Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 46.5% implied probability for Miami's highest temperature at Miami International Airport reaching 90-91°F today, driven by National Weather Service guidance forecasting highs near 88°F under partly cloudy skies with isolated showers, yet recent observations show morning readings already in the low 80s°F following yesterday's 91°F peak amid a persistent high-pressure ridge promoting subsidence warming and light winds. The 92-93°F outcome at 31.5% reflects ensemble model runs like GFS hinting at further heating if thunderstorms hold off, contrasting climatological mid-May averages of 86°F; lower bins lag due to potential sea-breeze convection capping peaks. NOAA updates expected by 2 PM EDT could refine trajectories as urban heat island effects amplify readings.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Miami on May 14?
Highest temperature in Miami on May 14?
90-91°F 46%
92-93°F 30%
88-89°F 14%
94-95°F 7.7%
NUEVO
$32,472 Vol.
NUEVO
$32,472 Vol.
14 may 2026
83°F or below
<1%
84-85°F
1%
86-87°F
2%
88-89°F
14%
90-91°F
46%
92-93°F
30%
94-95°F
8%
96-97°F
1%
98-99°F
1%
100-101°F
<1%
102°F or higher
<1%
90-91°F 46%
92-93°F 30%
88-89°F 14%
94-95°F 7.7%
NUEVO
$32,472 Vol.
NUEVO
$32,472 Vol.
14 may 2026
83°F or below
$1,243 Vol.
<1%
84-85°F
$1,621 Vol.
1%
86-87°F
$2,993 Vol.
2%
88-89°F
$4,653 Vol.
14%
90-91°F
$2,217 Vol.
46%
92-93°F
$3,561 Vol.
30%
94-95°F
$5,808 Vol.
8%
96-97°F
$1,205 Vol.
1%
98-99°F
$606 Vol.
1%
100-101°F
$1,148 Vol.
<1%
102°F or higher
$7,735 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 46.5% implied probability for Miami's highest temperature at Miami International Airport reaching 90-91°F today, driven by National Weather Service guidance forecasting highs near 88°F under partly cloudy skies with isolated showers, yet recent observations show morning readings already in the low 80s°F following yesterday's 91°F peak amid a persistent high-pressure ridge promoting subsidence warming and light winds. The 92-93°F outcome at 31.5% reflects ensemble model runs like GFS hinting at further heating if thunderstorms hold off, contrasting climatological mid-May averages of 86°F; lower bins lag due to potential sea-breeze convection capping peaks. NOAA updates expected by 2 PM EDT could refine trajectories as urban heat island effects amplify readings.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: May 12, 2026, 12:54 AM ET
Volumen
$32,472Fecha de finalización
14 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 12, 2026, 12:54 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 46.5% implied probability for Miami's highest temperature at Miami International Airport reaching 90-91°F today, driven by National Weather Service guidance forecasting highs near 88°F under partly cloudy skies with isolated showers, yet recent observations show morning readings already in the low 80s°F following yesterday's 91°F peak amid a persistent high-pressure ridge promoting subsidence warming and light winds. The 92-93°F outcome at 31.5% reflects ensemble model runs like GFS hinting at further heating if thunderstorms hold off, contrasting climatological mid-May averages of 86°F; lower bins lag due to potential sea-breeze convection capping peaks. NOAA updates expected by 2 PM EDT could refine trajectories as urban heat island effects amplify readings.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$32,472Fecha de finalización
14 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 12, 2026, 12:54 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 46.5% implied probability for Miami's highest temperature at Miami International Airport reaching 90-91°F today, driven by National Weather Service guidance forecasting highs near 88°F under partly cloudy skies with isolated showers, yet recent observations show morning readings already in the low 80s°F following yesterday's 91°F peak amid a persistent high-pressure ridge promoting subsidence warming and light winds. The 92-93°F outcome at 31.5% reflects ensemble model runs like GFS hinting at further heating if thunderstorms hold off, contrasting climatological mid-May averages of 86°F; lower bins lag due to potential sea-breeze convection capping peaks. NOAA updates expected by 2 PM EDT could refine trajectories as urban heat island effects amplify readings.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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