Trader consensus favors 90-91°F at 41% implied probability for Miami's highest temperature on May 15, driven by the latest National Weather Service forecasts projecting highs near 90°F amid a persistent upper-level ridge promoting subsidence, sunny skies, and limited sea breeze influence. This aligns with GFS and ECMWF ensemble runs converging on 89-92°F peaks before potential afternoon thunderstorms (30% chance) cap intensities. Recent developments include a multi-day heatwave with coastal highs in the upper 88s to low 90s, shattering early May records like 94°F on May 2—well above the 87°F climatological average—fueled by suppressed Atlantic moisture and anomalous warmth. New 12Z model updates and evening observations could refine odds ahead of resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Miami el 15 de mayo?
¿La temperatura más alta en Miami el 15 de mayo?
90-91°F 41%
88-89°F 30%
92-93°F 16%
86-87°F 10%
NUEVO
$14,414 Vol.
NUEVO
$14,414 Vol.
15 may 2026
81°F o menos
<1%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
1%
86-87°F
10%
88-89°F
30%
90-91°F
41%
92-93°F
16%
94-95°F
3%
96-97°F
<1%
98-99°F
1%
100°F o más
<1%
90-91°F 41%
88-89°F 30%
92-93°F 16%
86-87°F 10%
NUEVO
$14,414 Vol.
NUEVO
$14,414 Vol.
15 may 2026
81°F o menos
$2,507 Vol.
<1%
82-83°F
$2,033 Vol.
<1%
84-85°F
$950 Vol.
1%
86-87°F
$863 Vol.
10%
88-89°F
$1,371 Vol.
30%
90-91°F
$670 Vol.
41%
92-93°F
$2,205 Vol.
16%
94-95°F
$1,542 Vol.
3%
96-97°F
$347 Vol.
<1%
98-99°F
$200 Vol.
1%
100°F o más
$1,727 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus favors 90-91°F at 41% implied probability for Miami's highest temperature on May 15, driven by the latest National Weather Service forecasts projecting highs near 90°F amid a persistent upper-level ridge promoting subsidence, sunny skies, and limited sea breeze influence. This aligns with GFS and ECMWF ensemble runs converging on 89-92°F peaks before potential afternoon thunderstorms (30% chance) cap intensities. Recent developments include a multi-day heatwave with coastal highs in the upper 88s to low 90s, shattering early May records like 94°F on May 2—well above the 87°F climatological average—fueled by suppressed Atlantic moisture and anomalous warmth. New 12Z model updates and evening observations could refine odds ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: May 13, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Volumen
$14,414Fecha de finalización
15 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 13, 2026, 12:05 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus favors 90-91°F at 41% implied probability for Miami's highest temperature on May 15, driven by the latest National Weather Service forecasts projecting highs near 90°F amid a persistent upper-level ridge promoting subsidence, sunny skies, and limited sea breeze influence. This aligns with GFS and ECMWF ensemble runs converging on 89-92°F peaks before potential afternoon thunderstorms (30% chance) cap intensities. Recent developments include a multi-day heatwave with coastal highs in the upper 88s to low 90s, shattering early May records like 94°F on May 2—well above the 87°F climatological average—fueled by suppressed Atlantic moisture and anomalous warmth. New 12Z model updates and evening observations could refine odds ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$14,414Fecha de finalización
15 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 13, 2026, 12:05 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus favors 90-91°F at 41% implied probability for Miami's highest temperature on May 15, driven by the latest National Weather Service forecasts projecting highs near 90°F amid a persistent upper-level ridge promoting subsidence, sunny skies, and limited sea breeze influence. This aligns with GFS and ECMWF ensemble runs converging on 89-92°F peaks before potential afternoon thunderstorms (30% chance) cap intensities. Recent developments include a multi-day heatwave with coastal highs in the upper 88s to low 90s, shattering early May records like 94°F on May 2—well above the 87°F climatological average—fueled by suppressed Atlantic moisture and anomalous warmth. New 12Z model updates and evening observations could refine odds ahead of resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes