PAGASA's 8:00 AM forecast for Metro Manila on May 14 projects a daytime high of 35°C under partly cloudy skies with isolated thunderstorms from localized convection, driving trader consensus to 42.5% implied probability for this outcome and reflecting yesterday's observed peak of 35.3°C at the Science Garden station in Quezon City. Persistent easterlies maintain dry conditions conducive to high solar insolation and urban heat island effects in Manila, while recent days' records—including 36.2°C air temperatures and danger-level heat indices—bolster nearby odds for 34°C (22%) and 36°C (22%). Model consensus highlights afternoon peaks around 2:00–3:00 PM, with real-time station data resolving the market amid typical May dry-season variability exceeding 34°C averages.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Manila on May 14?
Highest temperature in Manila on May 14?
35°C 52%
36°C 26%
34°C 23%
37°C 2.6%
NUEVO
$18,701 Vol.
NUEVO
$18,701 Vol.
14 may 2026
33°C
2%
34°C
23%
35°C
52%
36°C
20%
37°C
3%
38°C or higher
1%
35°C 52%
36°C 26%
34°C 23%
37°C 2.6%
NUEVO
$18,701 Vol.
NUEVO
$18,701 Vol.
14 may 2026
33°C
$2,000 Vol.
2%
34°C
$906 Vol.
23%
35°C
$1,058 Vol.
52%
36°C
$1,183 Vol.
20%
37°C
$678 Vol.
3%
38°C or higher
$598 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.PAGASA's 8:00 AM forecast for Metro Manila on May 14 projects a daytime high of 35°C under partly cloudy skies with isolated thunderstorms from localized convection, driving trader consensus to 42.5% implied probability for this outcome and reflecting yesterday's observed peak of 35.3°C at the Science Garden station in Quezon City. Persistent easterlies maintain dry conditions conducive to high solar insolation and urban heat island effects in Manila, while recent days' records—including 36.2°C air temperatures and danger-level heat indices—bolster nearby odds for 34°C (22%) and 36°C (22%). Model consensus highlights afternoon peaks around 2:00–3:00 PM, with real-time station data resolving the market amid typical May dry-season variability exceeding 34°C averages.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: May 12, 2026, 12:16 AM ET
Volumen
$18,701Fecha de finalización
14 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 12, 2026, 12:16 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.PAGASA's 8:00 AM forecast for Metro Manila on May 14 projects a daytime high of 35°C under partly cloudy skies with isolated thunderstorms from localized convection, driving trader consensus to 42.5% implied probability for this outcome and reflecting yesterday's observed peak of 35.3°C at the Science Garden station in Quezon City. Persistent easterlies maintain dry conditions conducive to high solar insolation and urban heat island effects in Manila, while recent days' records—including 36.2°C air temperatures and danger-level heat indices—bolster nearby odds for 34°C (22%) and 36°C (22%). Model consensus highlights afternoon peaks around 2:00–3:00 PM, with real-time station data resolving the market amid typical May dry-season variability exceeding 34°C averages.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$18,701Fecha de finalización
14 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 12, 2026, 12:16 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLResolver
0x69c47De9D...PAGASA's 8:00 AM forecast for Metro Manila on May 14 projects a daytime high of 35°C under partly cloudy skies with isolated thunderstorms from localized convection, driving trader consensus to 42.5% implied probability for this outcome and reflecting yesterday's observed peak of 35.3°C at the Science Garden station in Quezon City. Persistent easterlies maintain dry conditions conducive to high solar insolation and urban heat island effects in Manila, while recent days' records—including 36.2°C air temperatures and danger-level heat indices—bolster nearby odds for 34°C (22%) and 36°C (22%). Model consensus highlights afternoon peaks around 2:00–3:00 PM, with real-time station data resolving the market amid typical May dry-season variability exceeding 34°C averages.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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