Latest China Meteorological Administration and international model ensembles (ECMWF, GFS) project Chengdu's May 1 high temperature clustering around 20-22°C, driven by persistent stratus clouds in the Sichuan Basin—exacerbated by topographic inversion layers trapping moisture—and a mild frontal system raising light shower risks to 20-25%, capping solar heating. This setup tempers typical early-May peaks of 24-26°C seen in historical analogs, with late-April observations averaging 22-24°C under similar overcast conditions. Trader sentiment mirrors model spread on afternoon cloud breaks and clearing potential, yielding tight implied probabilities for 20°C (29.5%), 21°C (36.5%), and 22°C or higher (22.5%); intraday observations from official stations will resolve the market, with peak temperatures likely mid-afternoon amid ongoing forecast refinements.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Chengdu on May 1?
Highest temperature in Chengdu on May 1?
20°C 45%
21°C 35%
22°C or higher 17.5%
19°C 9.7%
$24,453 Vol.
$24,453 Vol.
1 may 2026
18°C
<1%
19°C
10%
20°C
41%
21°C
35%
22°C or higher
18%
20°C 45%
21°C 35%
22°C or higher 17.5%
19°C 9.7%
$24,453 Vol.
$24,453 Vol.
1 may 2026
18°C
$8,185 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$3,536 Vol.
10%
20°C
$1,713 Vol.
41%
21°C
$1,603 Vol.
35%
22°C or higher
$2,451 Vol.
18%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest China Meteorological Administration and international model ensembles (ECMWF, GFS) project Chengdu's May 1 high temperature clustering around 20-22°C, driven by persistent stratus clouds in the Sichuan Basin—exacerbated by topographic inversion layers trapping moisture—and a mild frontal system raising light shower risks to 20-25%, capping solar heating. This setup tempers typical early-May peaks of 24-26°C seen in historical analogs, with late-April observations averaging 22-24°C under similar overcast conditions. Trader sentiment mirrors model spread on afternoon cloud breaks and clearing potential, yielding tight implied probabilities for 20°C (29.5%), 21°C (36.5%), and 22°C or higher (22.5%); intraday observations from official stations will resolve the market, with peak temperatures likely mid-afternoon amid ongoing forecast refinements.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Apr 29, 2026, 12:23 AM ET
Volumen
$24,453Fecha de finalización
1 may 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 29, 2026, 12:23 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest China Meteorological Administration and international model ensembles (ECMWF, GFS) project Chengdu's May 1 high temperature clustering around 20-22°C, driven by persistent stratus clouds in the Sichuan Basin—exacerbated by topographic inversion layers trapping moisture—and a mild frontal system raising light shower risks to 20-25%, capping solar heating. This setup tempers typical early-May peaks of 24-26°C seen in historical analogs, with late-April observations averaging 22-24°C under similar overcast conditions. Trader sentiment mirrors model spread on afternoon cloud breaks and clearing potential, yielding tight implied probabilities for 20°C (29.5%), 21°C (36.5%), and 22°C or higher (22.5%); intraday observations from official stations will resolve the market, with peak temperatures likely mid-afternoon amid ongoing forecast refinements.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$24,453Fecha de finalización
1 may 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 29, 2026, 12:23 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest China Meteorological Administration and international model ensembles (ECMWF, GFS) project Chengdu's May 1 high temperature clustering around 20-22°C, driven by persistent stratus clouds in the Sichuan Basin—exacerbated by topographic inversion layers trapping moisture—and a mild frontal system raising light shower risks to 20-25%, capping solar heating. This setup tempers typical early-May peaks of 24-26°C seen in historical analogs, with late-April observations averaging 22-24°C under similar overcast conditions. Trader sentiment mirrors model spread on afternoon cloud breaks and clearing potential, yielding tight implied probabilities for 20°C (29.5%), 21°C (36.5%), and 22°C or higher (22.5%); intraday observations from official stations will resolve the market, with peak temperatures likely mid-afternoon amid ongoing forecast refinements.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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