Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors 25°C (37.5% implied probability) as Busan's highest temperature on May 15, closely trailed by 26°C (26.5%) and 24°C (22.0%), reflecting the Korea Meteorological Administration's (KMA) latest short-range forecast models projecting daytime highs near 25–26°C under mostly clear skies and light westerly winds. This positioning stems from a high-pressure ridge dominating the Korean Peninsula, fostering above-seasonal warming after May 13–14 observations neared 24–26°C at nearby Gimhae Airport, moderated by Busan's coastal sea breezes that cap extremes. Mid-May climatology averages 22–24°C highs, but current ensemble guidance shows tight clustering around 25°C with low precipitation risk. Monitor KMA's next 12-hour update for potential refinements amid typical coastal variability.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Busan on May 15?
Highest temperature in Busan on May 15?
25°C 38%
26°C 27%
24°C 22%
27°C 11%
NUEVO
$13,375 Vol.
NUEVO
$13,375 Vol.
15 may 2026
19°C or below
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
1%
23°C
2%
24°C
22%
25°C
38%
26°C
27%
27°C
11%
28°C
2%
29°C or higher
1%
25°C 38%
26°C 27%
24°C 22%
27°C 11%
NUEVO
$13,375 Vol.
NUEVO
$13,375 Vol.
15 may 2026
19°C or below
$3,389 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$2,126 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$1,352 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$668 Vol.
1%
23°C
$1,352 Vol.
2%
24°C
$767 Vol.
22%
25°C
$459 Vol.
38%
26°C
$437 Vol.
27%
27°C
$1,080 Vol.
11%
28°C
$1,230 Vol.
2%
29°C or higher
$537 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors 25°C (37.5% implied probability) as Busan's highest temperature on May 15, closely trailed by 26°C (26.5%) and 24°C (22.0%), reflecting the Korea Meteorological Administration's (KMA) latest short-range forecast models projecting daytime highs near 25–26°C under mostly clear skies and light westerly winds. This positioning stems from a high-pressure ridge dominating the Korean Peninsula, fostering above-seasonal warming after May 13–14 observations neared 24–26°C at nearby Gimhae Airport, moderated by Busan's coastal sea breezes that cap extremes. Mid-May climatology averages 22–24°C highs, but current ensemble guidance shows tight clustering around 25°C with low precipitation risk. Monitor KMA's next 12-hour update for potential refinements amid typical coastal variability.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: May 13, 2026, 12:43 AM ET
Volumen
$13,375Fecha de finalización
15 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 13, 2026, 12:43 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPKResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors 25°C (37.5% implied probability) as Busan's highest temperature on May 15, closely trailed by 26°C (26.5%) and 24°C (22.0%), reflecting the Korea Meteorological Administration's (KMA) latest short-range forecast models projecting daytime highs near 25–26°C under mostly clear skies and light westerly winds. This positioning stems from a high-pressure ridge dominating the Korean Peninsula, fostering above-seasonal warming after May 13–14 observations neared 24–26°C at nearby Gimhae Airport, moderated by Busan's coastal sea breezes that cap extremes. Mid-May climatology averages 22–24°C highs, but current ensemble guidance shows tight clustering around 25°C with low precipitation risk. Monitor KMA's next 12-hour update for potential refinements amid typical coastal variability.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$13,375Fecha de finalización
15 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 13, 2026, 12:43 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors 25°C (37.5% implied probability) as Busan's highest temperature on May 15, closely trailed by 26°C (26.5%) and 24°C (22.0%), reflecting the Korea Meteorological Administration's (KMA) latest short-range forecast models projecting daytime highs near 25–26°C under mostly clear skies and light westerly winds. This positioning stems from a high-pressure ridge dominating the Korean Peninsula, fostering above-seasonal warming after May 13–14 observations neared 24–26°C at nearby Gimhae Airport, moderated by Busan's coastal sea breezes that cap extremes. Mid-May climatology averages 22–24°C highs, but current ensemble guidance shows tight clustering around 25°C with low precipitation risk. Monitor KMA's next 12-hour update for potential refinements amid typical coastal variability.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes