Latest ensemble forecasts from global models like ECMWF and GFS, alongside China Meteorological Administration guidance, project Wuhan's high temperature on May 16 near 29°C under overcast conditions with a 20-25% chance of light showers, driving trader consensus toward 28-31°C outcomes amid a tight spread. Recent thundershowers on May 14 capped highs at around 26°C after earlier May peaks of 31°C on May 11, introducing uncertainty from a lingering frontal system suppressing solar insolation and diurnal heating. Differentiating factors include cloud cover persistence versus potential afternoon breaks allowing urban heat island amplification at official stations, with model means hovering at 28.9-29.5°C. New CMA updates and high-resolution runs expected this evening could sharpen resolution as the event nears.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Wuhan on May 16?
Highest temperature in Wuhan on May 16?
30°C 34%
29°C 25%
31°C 19%
32°C 12%
NUEVO
NUEVO
16 may 2026
26°C or below
3%
27°C
4%
28°C
10%
29°C
25%
30°C
34%
31°C
19%
32°C
12%
33°C
4%
34°C
1%
35°C
1%
36°C or higher
<1%
30°C 34%
29°C 25%
31°C 19%
32°C 12%
NUEVO
NUEVO
16 may 2026
26°C or below
$54 Vol.
3%
27°C
$0 Vol.
4%
28°C
$32 Vol.
10%
29°C
$45 Vol.
25%
30°C
$31 Vol.
34%
31°C
$0 Vol.
19%
32°C
$30 Vol.
12%
33°C
$15 Vol.
4%
34°C
$10 Vol.
1%
35°C
$5 Vol.
1%
36°C or higher
$5 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest ensemble forecasts from global models like ECMWF and GFS, alongside China Meteorological Administration guidance, project Wuhan's high temperature on May 16 near 29°C under overcast conditions with a 20-25% chance of light showers, driving trader consensus toward 28-31°C outcomes amid a tight spread. Recent thundershowers on May 14 capped highs at around 26°C after earlier May peaks of 31°C on May 11, introducing uncertainty from a lingering frontal system suppressing solar insolation and diurnal heating. Differentiating factors include cloud cover persistence versus potential afternoon breaks allowing urban heat island amplification at official stations, with model means hovering at 28.9-29.5°C. New CMA updates and high-resolution runs expected this evening could sharpen resolution as the event nears.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: May 14, 2026, 12:48 AM ET
Volumen
$227Fecha de finalización
16 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 14, 2026, 12:48 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest ensemble forecasts from global models like ECMWF and GFS, alongside China Meteorological Administration guidance, project Wuhan's high temperature on May 16 near 29°C under overcast conditions with a 20-25% chance of light showers, driving trader consensus toward 28-31°C outcomes amid a tight spread. Recent thundershowers on May 14 capped highs at around 26°C after earlier May peaks of 31°C on May 11, introducing uncertainty from a lingering frontal system suppressing solar insolation and diurnal heating. Differentiating factors include cloud cover persistence versus potential afternoon breaks allowing urban heat island amplification at official stations, with model means hovering at 28.9-29.5°C. New CMA updates and high-resolution runs expected this evening could sharpen resolution as the event nears.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$227Fecha de finalización
16 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 14, 2026, 12:48 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest ensemble forecasts from global models like ECMWF and GFS, alongside China Meteorological Administration guidance, project Wuhan's high temperature on May 16 near 29°C under overcast conditions with a 20-25% chance of light showers, driving trader consensus toward 28-31°C outcomes amid a tight spread. Recent thundershowers on May 14 capped highs at around 26°C after earlier May peaks of 31°C on May 11, introducing uncertainty from a lingering frontal system suppressing solar insolation and diurnal heating. Differentiating factors include cloud cover persistence versus potential afternoon breaks allowing urban heat island amplification at official stations, with model means hovering at 28.9-29.5°C. New CMA updates and high-resolution runs expected this evening could sharpen resolution as the event nears.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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