Trader consensus on Polymarket implies a highest temperature cluster of 76-81°F for Denver International Airport on May 16, with 78-79°F leading at 27%, reflecting National Weather Service guidance and GFS/ECMWF ensemble means near 78°F under a persistent upper-level ridge fostering summerlike warmth. Recent 12z model runs on May 14 show slight spread due to uncertainties in afternoon cloud cover from diurnal thunderstorms and southeasterly flow, potentially differentiating outcomes by 2-4°F—warmer if convective activity stays east, cooler with widespread capping. May mid-month normals hover around 74°F, but above-normal anomalies prevail; monitor 00z updates tonight and NWS forecast refinements tomorrow for shifts ahead of resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Denver on May 16?
Highest temperature in Denver on May 16?
76-77°F 26%
78-79°F 26%
80-81°F 18%
74-75°F 13%
NUEVO
NUEVO
16 may 2026
65°F or below
1%
66-67°F
1%
68-69°F
1%
70-71°F
3%
72-73°F
7%
74-75°F
13%
76-77°F
26%
78-79°F
26%
80-81°F
18%
82-83°F
7%
84°F or higher
3%
76-77°F 26%
78-79°F 26%
80-81°F 18%
74-75°F 13%
NUEVO
NUEVO
16 may 2026
65°F or below
$7,250 Vol.
1%
66-67°F
$115 Vol.
1%
68-69°F
$15 Vol.
1%
70-71°F
$8 Vol.
3%
72-73°F
$25 Vol.
7%
74-75°F
$17 Vol.
13%
76-77°F
$17 Vol.
26%
78-79°F
$30 Vol.
26%
80-81°F
$71 Vol.
18%
82-83°F
$17 Vol.
7%
84°F or higher
$55 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket implies a highest temperature cluster of 76-81°F for Denver International Airport on May 16, with 78-79°F leading at 27%, reflecting National Weather Service guidance and GFS/ECMWF ensemble means near 78°F under a persistent upper-level ridge fostering summerlike warmth. Recent 12z model runs on May 14 show slight spread due to uncertainties in afternoon cloud cover from diurnal thunderstorms and southeasterly flow, potentially differentiating outcomes by 2-4°F—warmer if convective activity stays east, cooler with widespread capping. May mid-month normals hover around 74°F, but above-normal anomalies prevail; monitor 00z updates tonight and NWS forecast refinements tomorrow for shifts ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: May 14, 2026, 12:07 AM ET
Volumen
$7,527Fecha de finalización
16 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 14, 2026, 12:07 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKFResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket implies a highest temperature cluster of 76-81°F for Denver International Airport on May 16, with 78-79°F leading at 27%, reflecting National Weather Service guidance and GFS/ECMWF ensemble means near 78°F under a persistent upper-level ridge fostering summerlike warmth. Recent 12z model runs on May 14 show slight spread due to uncertainties in afternoon cloud cover from diurnal thunderstorms and southeasterly flow, potentially differentiating outcomes by 2-4°F—warmer if convective activity stays east, cooler with widespread capping. May mid-month normals hover around 74°F, but above-normal anomalies prevail; monitor 00z updates tonight and NWS forecast refinements tomorrow for shifts ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$7,527Fecha de finalización
16 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 14, 2026, 12:07 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKFResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket implies a highest temperature cluster of 76-81°F for Denver International Airport on May 16, with 78-79°F leading at 27%, reflecting National Weather Service guidance and GFS/ECMWF ensemble means near 78°F under a persistent upper-level ridge fostering summerlike warmth. Recent 12z model runs on May 14 show slight spread due to uncertainties in afternoon cloud cover from diurnal thunderstorms and southeasterly flow, potentially differentiating outcomes by 2-4°F—warmer if convective activity stays east, cooler with widespread capping. May mid-month normals hover around 74°F, but above-normal anomalies prevail; monitor 00z updates tonight and NWS forecast refinements tomorrow for shifts ahead of resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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