Recent Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) forecasts for the Valle de México indicate maximum temperatures of 24-26°C on May 14 and 25-27°C on May 15, driven by a cold front, low-pressure channel, and Pacific moisture influx fostering cloudiness, showers (5-25 mm), and electrical activity that cap afternoon warming. These conditions, persisting from May 12-16 amid the rainy season onset, follow early May highs near 30-33°C during drier spells. Historical May averages hover at 27°C, with measurements from Benito Juárez International Airport determining resolution. Traders should monitor daily SMN updates, as model shifts could alter peak heat potential by May 16.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Mexico City on May 16?
Highest temperature in Mexico City on May 16?
24°C or higher 99.3%
14°C or below <1%
21°C <1%
22°C <1%
NUEVO
NUEVO
16 may 2026
14°C or below
1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
1%
22°C
1%
23°C
1%
24°C or higher
99%
24°C or higher 99.3%
14°C or below <1%
21°C <1%
22°C <1%
NUEVO
NUEVO
16 may 2026
14°C or below
$361 Vol.
1%
15°C
$196 Vol.
<1%
16°C
$196 Vol.
<1%
17°C
$196 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$196 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$196 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$196 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$196 Vol.
1%
22°C
$196 Vol.
1%
23°C
$336 Vol.
1%
24°C or higher
$399 Vol.
99%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) forecasts for the Valle de México indicate maximum temperatures of 24-26°C on May 14 and 25-27°C on May 15, driven by a cold front, low-pressure channel, and Pacific moisture influx fostering cloudiness, showers (5-25 mm), and electrical activity that cap afternoon warming. These conditions, persisting from May 12-16 amid the rainy season onset, follow early May highs near 30-33°C during drier spells. Historical May averages hover at 27°C, with measurements from Benito Juárez International Airport determining resolution. Traders should monitor daily SMN updates, as model shifts could alter peak heat potential by May 16.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: May 14, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
Volumen
$2,623Fecha de finalización
16 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 14, 2026, 12:28 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMXResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) forecasts for the Valle de México indicate maximum temperatures of 24-26°C on May 14 and 25-27°C on May 15, driven by a cold front, low-pressure channel, and Pacific moisture influx fostering cloudiness, showers (5-25 mm), and electrical activity that cap afternoon warming. These conditions, persisting from May 12-16 amid the rainy season onset, follow early May highs near 30-33°C during drier spells. Historical May averages hover at 27°C, with measurements from Benito Juárez International Airport determining resolution. Traders should monitor daily SMN updates, as model shifts could alter peak heat potential by May 16.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$2,623Fecha de finalización
16 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 14, 2026, 12:28 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMXResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) forecasts for the Valle de México indicate maximum temperatures of 24-26°C on May 14 and 25-27°C on May 15, driven by a cold front, low-pressure channel, and Pacific moisture influx fostering cloudiness, showers (5-25 mm), and electrical activity that cap afternoon warming. These conditions, persisting from May 12-16 amid the rainy season onset, follow early May highs near 30-33°C during drier spells. Historical May averages hover at 27°C, with measurements from Benito Juárez International Airport determining resolution. Traders should monitor daily SMN updates, as model shifts could alter peak heat potential by May 16.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes