Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors 22°C (39%) and 21°C (31%) for Ankara's highest temperature today, reflecting the Turkish State Meteorological Service (MGM) forecast of a midday peak near 22°C amid partly cloudy skies and a 20-60% chance of isolated showers per ensemble models like GFS and ECMWF. Morning observations at Esenboğa International Airport confirm an overnight low around 11-12°C, typical for mid-May climatology averaging 20-22°C highs, but variable cloud cover and potential afternoon showers could suppress insolation and limit heating to 21°C. Key differentiators include timing of peak solar radiation (2-4 PM local) and boundary layer mixing under light winds (3-10 km/h), with resolution based on official airport measurements; updated hourly data expected through evening.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Ankara on May 14?
Highest temperature in Ankara on May 14?
22°C 36.8%
21°C 33%
20°C 10%
23°C 9.7%
$42,161 Vol.
$42,161 Vol.
14 may 2026
15°C or below
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
2%
20°C
10%
21°C
33%
22°C
37%
23°C
10%
24°C
2%
25°C or higher
<1%
22°C 36.8%
21°C 33%
20°C 10%
23°C 9.7%
$42,161 Vol.
$42,161 Vol.
14 may 2026
15°C or below
$2,266 Vol.
<1%
16°C
$1,363 Vol.
<1%
17°C
$2,931 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$6,221 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$4,943 Vol.
2%
20°C
$3,482 Vol.
10%
21°C
$3,283 Vol.
33%
22°C
$2,767 Vol.
37%
23°C
$5,413 Vol.
10%
24°C
$5,155 Vol.
2%
25°C or higher
$4,349 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors 22°C (39%) and 21°C (31%) for Ankara's highest temperature today, reflecting the Turkish State Meteorological Service (MGM) forecast of a midday peak near 22°C amid partly cloudy skies and a 20-60% chance of isolated showers per ensemble models like GFS and ECMWF. Morning observations at Esenboğa International Airport confirm an overnight low around 11-12°C, typical for mid-May climatology averaging 20-22°C highs, but variable cloud cover and potential afternoon showers could suppress insolation and limit heating to 21°C. Key differentiators include timing of peak solar radiation (2-4 PM local) and boundary layer mixing under light winds (3-10 km/h), with resolution based on official airport measurements; updated hourly data expected through evening.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: May 12, 2026, 12:12 AM ET
Volumen
$42,161Fecha de finalización
14 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 12, 2026, 12:12 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors 22°C (39%) and 21°C (31%) for Ankara's highest temperature today, reflecting the Turkish State Meteorological Service (MGM) forecast of a midday peak near 22°C amid partly cloudy skies and a 20-60% chance of isolated showers per ensemble models like GFS and ECMWF. Morning observations at Esenboğa International Airport confirm an overnight low around 11-12°C, typical for mid-May climatology averaging 20-22°C highs, but variable cloud cover and potential afternoon showers could suppress insolation and limit heating to 21°C. Key differentiators include timing of peak solar radiation (2-4 PM local) and boundary layer mixing under light winds (3-10 km/h), with resolution based on official airport measurements; updated hourly data expected through evening.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$42,161Fecha de finalización
14 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 12, 2026, 12:12 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors 22°C (39%) and 21°C (31%) for Ankara's highest temperature today, reflecting the Turkish State Meteorological Service (MGM) forecast of a midday peak near 22°C amid partly cloudy skies and a 20-60% chance of isolated showers per ensemble models like GFS and ECMWF. Morning observations at Esenboğa International Airport confirm an overnight low around 11-12°C, typical for mid-May climatology averaging 20-22°C highs, but variable cloud cover and potential afternoon showers could suppress insolation and limit heating to 21°C. Key differentiators include timing of peak solar radiation (2-4 PM local) and boundary layer mixing under light winds (3-10 km/h), with resolution based on official airport measurements; updated hourly data expected through evening.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes