Trader consensus on Polymarket has converged to a near-certain 100% implied probability for a highest temperature of 26°C in Busan today, anchored by the Korea Meteorological Administration's (KMA) official hourly observations from key stations like Gimhae Airport and Busan, which peaked at 26°C in the early afternoon under clear skies and light southerly winds. This aligns with short-range forecast model ensembles (ECMWF and GFS integrations via KMA) showing tight clustering around 25–26°C, moderated by Busan's coastal position and sea breeze effects that cap mid-May highs near seasonal norms of 23–25°C amid a mild warm anomaly. Realistic challenges would require a late data revision from an outlier station or unforecasted urban heat spike exceeding 27°C before midnight resolution, though current evening cooling trends make this improbable; final KMA daily summary expected shortly.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Busan on May 14?
Highest temperature in Busan on May 14?
26°C 100.0%
27°C <1%
28°C or higher <1%
$51,223 Vol.
$51,223 Vol.
14 may 2026
26°C
100%
27°C
<1%
28°C or higher
<1%
26°C 100.0%
27°C <1%
28°C or higher <1%
$51,223 Vol.
$51,223 Vol.
14 may 2026
26°C
$7,805 Vol.
100%
27°C
$10,101 Vol.
<1%
28°C or higher
$6,955 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket has converged to a near-certain 100% implied probability for a highest temperature of 26°C in Busan today, anchored by the Korea Meteorological Administration's (KMA) official hourly observations from key stations like Gimhae Airport and Busan, which peaked at 26°C in the early afternoon under clear skies and light southerly winds. This aligns with short-range forecast model ensembles (ECMWF and GFS integrations via KMA) showing tight clustering around 25–26°C, moderated by Busan's coastal position and sea breeze effects that cap mid-May highs near seasonal norms of 23–25°C amid a mild warm anomaly. Realistic challenges would require a late data revision from an outlier station or unforecasted urban heat spike exceeding 27°C before midnight resolution, though current evening cooling trends make this improbable; final KMA daily summary expected shortly.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: May 12, 2026, 12:08 AM ET
Volumen
$51,223Fecha de finalización
14 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 12, 2026, 12:08 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPKResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket has converged to a near-certain 100% implied probability for a highest temperature of 26°C in Busan today, anchored by the Korea Meteorological Administration's (KMA) official hourly observations from key stations like Gimhae Airport and Busan, which peaked at 26°C in the early afternoon under clear skies and light southerly winds. This aligns with short-range forecast model ensembles (ECMWF and GFS integrations via KMA) showing tight clustering around 25–26°C, moderated by Busan's coastal position and sea breeze effects that cap mid-May highs near seasonal norms of 23–25°C amid a mild warm anomaly. Realistic challenges would require a late data revision from an outlier station or unforecasted urban heat spike exceeding 27°C before midnight resolution, though current evening cooling trends make this improbable; final KMA daily summary expected shortly.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$51,223Fecha de finalización
14 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 12, 2026, 12:08 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket has converged to a near-certain 100% implied probability for a highest temperature of 26°C in Busan today, anchored by the Korea Meteorological Administration's (KMA) official hourly observations from key stations like Gimhae Airport and Busan, which peaked at 26°C in the early afternoon under clear skies and light southerly winds. This aligns with short-range forecast model ensembles (ECMWF and GFS integrations via KMA) showing tight clustering around 25–26°C, moderated by Busan's coastal position and sea breeze effects that cap mid-May highs near seasonal norms of 23–25°C amid a mild warm anomaly. Realistic challenges would require a late data revision from an outlier station or unforecasted urban heat spike exceeding 27°C before midnight resolution, though current evening cooling trends make this improbable; final KMA daily summary expected shortly.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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