Trader consensus on Polymarket favors a Munich high of 13°C at 40.5%, narrowly ahead of 12°C at 33.5%, reflecting tight forecast model spread amid persistent low cloud cover and scattered showers from a cool northerly flow. Deutscher Wetterdienst (DWD) and AccuWeather guidance point to afternoon highs clustering 12-13°C, with current morning observations near 9-10°C at Munich Airport limiting upside potential. ECMWF ensembles imply modest warming to 13°C if partial cloud breaks emerge post-noon, while GFS runs trend cooler near 12°C under overcast skies and light precipitation; 14°C+ at 24.5% hinges on unexpected clearing. Real-time DWD station data through evening will sharpen resolution, underscoring inherent short-range forecast uncertainty.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Munich on May 14?
Highest temperature in Munich on May 14?
13°C 36%
12°C 35%
14°C or higher 21%
11°C 3.6%
$37,484 Vol.
$37,484 Vol.
14 may 2026
9°C
<1%
10°C
1%
11°C
4%
12°C
35%
13°C
36%
14°C or higher
21%
13°C 36%
12°C 35%
14°C or higher 21%
11°C 3.6%
$37,484 Vol.
$37,484 Vol.
14 may 2026
9°C
$7,957 Vol.
<1%
10°C
$3,469 Vol.
1%
11°C
$4,215 Vol.
4%
12°C
$4,205 Vol.
35%
13°C
$4,197 Vol.
36%
14°C or higher
$6,210 Vol.
21%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket favors a Munich high of 13°C at 40.5%, narrowly ahead of 12°C at 33.5%, reflecting tight forecast model spread amid persistent low cloud cover and scattered showers from a cool northerly flow. Deutscher Wetterdienst (DWD) and AccuWeather guidance point to afternoon highs clustering 12-13°C, with current morning observations near 9-10°C at Munich Airport limiting upside potential. ECMWF ensembles imply modest warming to 13°C if partial cloud breaks emerge post-noon, while GFS runs trend cooler near 12°C under overcast skies and light precipitation; 14°C+ at 24.5% hinges on unexpected clearing. Real-time DWD station data through evening will sharpen resolution, underscoring inherent short-range forecast uncertainty.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: May 12, 2026, 12:19 AM ET
Volumen
$37,484Fecha de finalización
14 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 12, 2026, 12:19 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket favors a Munich high of 13°C at 40.5%, narrowly ahead of 12°C at 33.5%, reflecting tight forecast model spread amid persistent low cloud cover and scattered showers from a cool northerly flow. Deutscher Wetterdienst (DWD) and AccuWeather guidance point to afternoon highs clustering 12-13°C, with current morning observations near 9-10°C at Munich Airport limiting upside potential. ECMWF ensembles imply modest warming to 13°C if partial cloud breaks emerge post-noon, while GFS runs trend cooler near 12°C under overcast skies and light precipitation; 14°C+ at 24.5% hinges on unexpected clearing. Real-time DWD station data through evening will sharpen resolution, underscoring inherent short-range forecast uncertainty.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$37,484Fecha de finalización
14 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 12, 2026, 12:19 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket favors a Munich high of 13°C at 40.5%, narrowly ahead of 12°C at 33.5%, reflecting tight forecast model spread amid persistent low cloud cover and scattered showers from a cool northerly flow. Deutscher Wetterdienst (DWD) and AccuWeather guidance point to afternoon highs clustering 12-13°C, with current morning observations near 9-10°C at Munich Airport limiting upside potential. ECMWF ensembles imply modest warming to 13°C if partial cloud breaks emerge post-noon, while GFS runs trend cooler near 12°C under overcast skies and light precipitation; 14°C+ at 24.5% hinges on unexpected clearing. Real-time DWD station data through evening will sharpen resolution, underscoring inherent short-range forecast uncertainty.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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