Trader consensus on Polymarket strongly favors a 25°C high temperature in Chengdu today at 75% implied probability, driven by the latest China Meteorological Administration guidance and ensemble model runs from GFS and ECMWF converging on subdued daytime peaks amid persistent overcast skies over the Sichuan Basin. Extensive cloud cover—currently dominating with morning temperatures near 23°C—traps moisture and sharply reduces solar insolation, limiting atmospheric heating despite typical May averages around 27–28°C. Yesterday's 27°C high at Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport sets a recent benchmark, but today's cooler synoptic pattern with low-level moisture convergence tips trader sentiment lower, with 26°C at 20.5%. Afternoon hourly observations from the airport will be pivotal as the resolution window nears.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Chengdu on May 14?
Highest temperature in Chengdu on May 14?
25°C 85.5%
26°C 9%
27°C 4%
28°C <1%
$53,436 Vol.
$53,436 Vol.
14 may 2026
24°C
<1%
25°C
86%
26°C
9%
27°C
4%
28°C
1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C or higher
<1%
25°C 85.5%
26°C 9%
27°C 4%
28°C <1%
$53,436 Vol.
$53,436 Vol.
14 may 2026
24°C
$10,500 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$3,369 Vol.
86%
26°C
$2,174 Vol.
9%
27°C
$2,547 Vol.
4%
28°C
$4,066 Vol.
1%
29°C
$4,665 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$4,747 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$4,331 Vol.
<1%
32°C
$2,097 Vol.
<1%
33°C or higher
$3,870 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket strongly favors a 25°C high temperature in Chengdu today at 75% implied probability, driven by the latest China Meteorological Administration guidance and ensemble model runs from GFS and ECMWF converging on subdued daytime peaks amid persistent overcast skies over the Sichuan Basin. Extensive cloud cover—currently dominating with morning temperatures near 23°C—traps moisture and sharply reduces solar insolation, limiting atmospheric heating despite typical May averages around 27–28°C. Yesterday's 27°C high at Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport sets a recent benchmark, but today's cooler synoptic pattern with low-level moisture convergence tips trader sentiment lower, with 26°C at 20.5%. Afternoon hourly observations from the airport will be pivotal as the resolution window nears.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: May 12, 2026, 12:19 AM ET
Volumen
$53,436Fecha de finalización
14 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 12, 2026, 12:19 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado propuesto: No
Sin disputa
Resultado final: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket strongly favors a 25°C high temperature in Chengdu today at 75% implied probability, driven by the latest China Meteorological Administration guidance and ensemble model runs from GFS and ECMWF converging on subdued daytime peaks amid persistent overcast skies over the Sichuan Basin. Extensive cloud cover—currently dominating with morning temperatures near 23°C—traps moisture and sharply reduces solar insolation, limiting atmospheric heating despite typical May averages around 27–28°C. Yesterday's 27°C high at Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport sets a recent benchmark, but today's cooler synoptic pattern with low-level moisture convergence tips trader sentiment lower, with 26°C at 20.5%. Afternoon hourly observations from the airport will be pivotal as the resolution window nears.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$53,436Fecha de finalización
14 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 12, 2026, 12:19 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado propuesto: No
Sin disputa
Resultado final: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket strongly favors a 25°C high temperature in Chengdu today at 75% implied probability, driven by the latest China Meteorological Administration guidance and ensemble model runs from GFS and ECMWF converging on subdued daytime peaks amid persistent overcast skies over the Sichuan Basin. Extensive cloud cover—currently dominating with morning temperatures near 23°C—traps moisture and sharply reduces solar insolation, limiting atmospheric heating despite typical May averages around 27–28°C. Yesterday's 27°C high at Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport sets a recent benchmark, but today's cooler synoptic pattern with low-level moisture convergence tips trader sentiment lower, with 26°C at 20.5%. Afternoon hourly observations from the airport will be pivotal as the resolution window nears.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes