National Weather Service guidance for Austin forecasts a high near 91°F on May 15 under partly sunny skies with light south-southeast winds, anchoring trader consensus at over 90% implied probability for 86°F or higher at the official Austin-Bergstrom Airport observing station. This positioning reflects a strengthening high-pressure ridge promoting subsidence aloft and efficient solar heating on dry soils following recent clearing trends, with prior days logging highs in the upper 80s amid above-normal May temperatures averaging 87°F historically. Model ensembles like GFS and ECMWF show tight agreement on upper-80s to low-90s peaks. Realistic challenges include unexpected diurnal cloud development or isolated thunderstorms capping temperatures below 86°F, though low precipitation odds (under 20%) limit this risk; watch morning NWS updates and 12z model runs for refinements.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Austin on May 15?
Highest temperature in Austin on May 15?
86°F or higher 91%
84-85°F 5.0%
80-81°F 1.1%
82-83°F <1%
NUEVO
$20,201 Vol.
NUEVO
$20,201 Vol.
15 may 2026
67°F or below
<1%
68-69°F
<1%
70-71°F
<1%
72-73°F
<1%
74-75°F
<1%
76-77°F
<1%
78-79°F
<1%
80-81°F
1%
82-83°F
1%
84-85°F
5%
86°F or higher
91%
86°F or higher 91%
84-85°F 5.0%
80-81°F 1.1%
82-83°F <1%
NUEVO
$20,201 Vol.
NUEVO
$20,201 Vol.
15 may 2026
67°F or below
$3,667 Vol.
<1%
68-69°F
$3,766 Vol.
<1%
70-71°F
$5,324 Vol.
<1%
72-73°F
$1,589 Vol.
<1%
74-75°F
$2,170 Vol.
<1%
76-77°F
$815 Vol.
<1%
78-79°F
$1,046 Vol.
<1%
80-81°F
$466 Vol.
1%
82-83°F
$443 Vol.
1%
84-85°F
$360 Vol.
5%
86°F or higher
$554 Vol.
91%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.National Weather Service guidance for Austin forecasts a high near 91°F on May 15 under partly sunny skies with light south-southeast winds, anchoring trader consensus at over 90% implied probability for 86°F or higher at the official Austin-Bergstrom Airport observing station. This positioning reflects a strengthening high-pressure ridge promoting subsidence aloft and efficient solar heating on dry soils following recent clearing trends, with prior days logging highs in the upper 80s amid above-normal May temperatures averaging 87°F historically. Model ensembles like GFS and ECMWF show tight agreement on upper-80s to low-90s peaks. Realistic challenges include unexpected diurnal cloud development or isolated thunderstorms capping temperatures below 86°F, though low precipitation odds (under 20%) limit this risk; watch morning NWS updates and 12z model runs for refinements.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: May 13, 2026, 12:19 AM ET
Volumen
$20,201Fecha de finalización
15 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 13, 2026, 12:19 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUSResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.National Weather Service guidance for Austin forecasts a high near 91°F on May 15 under partly sunny skies with light south-southeast winds, anchoring trader consensus at over 90% implied probability for 86°F or higher at the official Austin-Bergstrom Airport observing station. This positioning reflects a strengthening high-pressure ridge promoting subsidence aloft and efficient solar heating on dry soils following recent clearing trends, with prior days logging highs in the upper 80s amid above-normal May temperatures averaging 87°F historically. Model ensembles like GFS and ECMWF show tight agreement on upper-80s to low-90s peaks. Realistic challenges include unexpected diurnal cloud development or isolated thunderstorms capping temperatures below 86°F, though low precipitation odds (under 20%) limit this risk; watch morning NWS updates and 12z model runs for refinements.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$20,201Fecha de finalización
15 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 13, 2026, 12:19 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUSResolver
0x69c47De9D...National Weather Service guidance for Austin forecasts a high near 91°F on May 15 under partly sunny skies with light south-southeast winds, anchoring trader consensus at over 90% implied probability for 86°F or higher at the official Austin-Bergstrom Airport observing station. This positioning reflects a strengthening high-pressure ridge promoting subsidence aloft and efficient solar heating on dry soils following recent clearing trends, with prior days logging highs in the upper 80s amid above-normal May temperatures averaging 87°F historically. Model ensembles like GFS and ECMWF show tight agreement on upper-80s to low-90s peaks. Realistic challenges include unexpected diurnal cloud development or isolated thunderstorms capping temperatures below 86°F, though low precipitation odds (under 20%) limit this risk; watch morning NWS updates and 12z model runs for refinements.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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