National Weather Service forecasts for Austin project a high near 92°F on May 14 under mostly sunny skies and light south-southeast winds of 5-10 mph, reflecting strong model consensus from NOAA ensembles that underpin the 99.7% implied probability for 82°F or higher. Morning observations at Austin-Bergstrom International Airport show temperatures starting in the mid-60s amid clear conditions, enabling classic diurnal heating on this ridge-dominated upper-air pattern, well above the 84-86°F climatological May norms. Trader sentiment aligns with this skin-in-the-game assessment of minimal downside risk, though an improbable surge in marine-layer clouds or unexpected wind shift could cap peaks below 82°F; hourly updates from NWS radar and surface data this afternoon will refine intraday trajectories.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Austin el 14 de mayo?
¿La temperatura más alta en Austin el 14 de mayo?
82°F o más 99.7%
74-75°F <1%
76-77°F <1%
78-79°F <1%
$88,303 Vol.
$88,303 Vol.
63°F o menos
<1%
64-65°F
<1%
66-67°F
<1%
68-69°F
<1%
70-71°F
<1%
72-73°F
<1%
74-75°F
<1%
76-77°F
<1%
78-79°F
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
82°F o más
100%
82°F o más 99.7%
74-75°F <1%
76-77°F <1%
78-79°F <1%
$88,303 Vol.
$88,303 Vol.
63°F o menos
<1%
64-65°F
<1%
66-67°F
<1%
68-69°F
<1%
70-71°F
<1%
72-73°F
<1%
74-75°F
<1%
76-77°F
<1%
78-79°F
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
82°F o más
100%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: May 12, 2026, 12:12 AM ET
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUSResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUSResolver
0x69c47De9D...National Weather Service forecasts for Austin project a high near 92°F on May 14 under mostly sunny skies and light south-southeast winds of 5-10 mph, reflecting strong model consensus from NOAA ensembles that underpin the 99.7% implied probability for 82°F or higher. Morning observations at Austin-Bergstrom International Airport show temperatures starting in the mid-60s amid clear conditions, enabling classic diurnal heating on this ridge-dominated upper-air pattern, well above the 84-86°F climatological May norms. Trader sentiment aligns with this skin-in-the-game assessment of minimal downside risk, though an improbable surge in marine-layer clouds or unexpected wind shift could cap peaks below 82°F; hourly updates from NWS radar and surface data this afternoon will refine intraday trajectories.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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