Trader consensus heavily favors Alexander Vindman as the Florida Democratic U.S. Senate primary winner at 86% implied probability, propelled by his official qualification on April 22 after paying the filing fee and his standout $8.2 million fundraising haul through early April—outpacing rivals and signaling national Democratic backing amid optimism for the special election. Recent field consolidation boosted him further, including Hector Mujica's April 6 dropout and endorsement, while qualifying closed last week without major challengers emerging. U.S. Rep. Jared Moskowitz trails at 6% with incumbency in a competitive House district, but lacks comparable resources; lower-tier candidates like state Rep. Angie Nixon (1%) face steep hurdles in the August 18 primary. Strong name recognition from his Trump impeachment testimony cements his frontrunner status in this crowded field.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoAlexander Vindman 83.9%
Jared Moskowitz 5.7%
Josh Weil 3.2%
Charlie Crist 2.0%
$134,546 Vol.
$134,546 Vol.
Alexander Vindman
84%
Jared Moskowitz
6%
Josh Weil
3%
Charlie Crist
2%
Angie Nixon
1%
Joey Atkins
1%
Alan Grayson
1%
Jennifer Jenkins
<1%
Alexander Vindman 83.9%
Jared Moskowitz 5.7%
Josh Weil 3.2%
Charlie Crist 2.0%
$134,546 Vol.
$134,546 Vol.
Alexander Vindman
84%
Jared Moskowitz
6%
Josh Weil
3%
Charlie Crist
2%
Angie Nixon
1%
Joey Atkins
1%
Alan Grayson
1%
Jennifer Jenkins
<1%
If no 2026 Florida Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Florida Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Mercado abierto: Dec 2, 2025, 3:41 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no 2026 Florida Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Florida Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus heavily favors Alexander Vindman as the Florida Democratic U.S. Senate primary winner at 86% implied probability, propelled by his official qualification on April 22 after paying the filing fee and his standout $8.2 million fundraising haul through early April—outpacing rivals and signaling national Democratic backing amid optimism for the special election. Recent field consolidation boosted him further, including Hector Mujica's April 6 dropout and endorsement, while qualifying closed last week without major challengers emerging. U.S. Rep. Jared Moskowitz trails at 6% with incumbency in a competitive House district, but lacks comparable resources; lower-tier candidates like state Rep. Angie Nixon (1%) face steep hurdles in the August 18 primary. Strong name recognition from his Trump impeachment testimony cements his frontrunner status in this crowded field.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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