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Elecciones·Florida

FL-20 Democratic Primary Winner

icon for FL-20 Democratic Primary Winner
Elecciones·Florida

FL-20 Democratic Primary Winner

Elijah Manley 62%

Dale Holness 28%

Maisha Williams 7.1%

Mark Douglas 5.5%

Polymarket
NUEVO

Elijah Manley 62%

Dale Holness 28%

Maisha Williams 7.1%

Mark Douglas 5.5%

Polymarket
NUEVO

Elijah Manley

$1,807 Vol.

49%

Dale Holness

$476 Vol.

37%

Maisha Williams

$261 Vol.

7%

Mark Douglas

$236 Vol.

6%

Luther Campbell

$226 Vol.

5%

Sheila Cherfilus-McCormick

$747 Vol.

2%

Rudy Moise

$435 Vol.

1%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the FL-20 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 18, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Elijah Manley leads trader consensus at 47% implied probability in the FL-20 Democratic primary, buoyed by recent Listener Group polls showing him ahead of now-former incumbent Sheila Cherfilus-McCormick before her April 21 resignation amid ethics probes, which has cratered her odds to 1.8% and elevated the race to a tight Manley-Dale Holness contest. Holness, a former Broward commissioner who narrowly lost the 2021 special primary here, holds steady at 36% on name recognition and establishment ties. Recent redistricting approved by Gov. DeSantis adds uncertainty to district lines, but Manley vows to stay, stressing Black representation in the majority-minority seat. The August 18 closed primary looms as low-turnout dynamics could tip battleground precincts in Broward and Palm Beach counties.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the FL-20 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 18, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volumen
$4,188
Fecha de finalización
18 ago 2026
Mercado abierto
Apr 22, 2026, 1:10 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the FL-20 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 18, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the FL-20 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 18, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Elijah Manley leads trader consensus at 47% implied probability in the FL-20 Democratic primary, buoyed by recent Listener Group polls showing him ahead of now-former incumbent Sheila Cherfilus-McCormick before her April 21 resignation amid ethics probes, which has cratered her odds to 1.8% and elevated the race to a tight Manley-Dale Holness contest. Holness, a former Broward commissioner who narrowly lost the 2021 special primary here, holds steady at 36% on name recognition and establishment ties. Recent redistricting approved by Gov. DeSantis adds uncertainty to district lines, but Manley vows to stay, stressing Black representation in the majority-minority seat. The August 18 closed primary looms as low-turnout dynamics could tip battleground precincts in Broward and Palm Beach counties.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the FL-20 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 18, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volumen
$4,188
Fecha de finalización
18 ago 2026
Mercado abierto
Apr 22, 2026, 1:10 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the FL-20 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 18, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"FL-20 Democratic Primary Winner" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 7 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "Elijah Manley" con 49%, seguido de "Dale Holness" con 37%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 49¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 49% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

"FL-20 Democratic Primary Winner" es un mercado recién creado en Polymarket, lanzado el Apr 22, 2026. Como mercado nuevo, esta es tu oportunidad de ser uno de los primeros operadores en establecer las probabilidades y las señales de precio iniciales del mercado. También puedes guardar esta página en marcadores para seguir el volumen y la actividad de trading a medida que el mercado gana tracción.

Para operar en "FL-20 Democratic Primary Winner", explora los 7 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "FL-20 Democratic Primary Winner" es "Elijah Manley" con 49%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 49% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "Dale Holness" con 37%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "FL-20 Democratic Primary Winner" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.