Trader consensus favors the Republican Party at 74% implied probability to win Florida's 16th Congressional District House seat, reflecting the district's Solid Republican rating and R+7 Cook Partisan Voting Index in the Sarasota-Bradenton area. Incumbent Vern Buchanan's January retirement opened the race, but strong GOP contenders—including Trump-endorsed Sydney Gruters, John Peters, Ed Pope, and Eddie Speir—bolster expectations of a party hold, consistent with Buchanan's prior 60% victories. Democrats, with candidates like Jonathan Harris and Tamika Lyles, trail at 23% amid the district's conservative lean and Florida's midterm dynamics. Primaries on August 18 could shape nominees, though no recent polls show shifts.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoFL-16 Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara
FL-16 Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara
$14,352 Vol.
$14,352 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Republicano
75%
Partido Demócrata
23%
$14,352 Vol.
$14,352 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Republicano
$5,704 Vol.
75%
Partido Demócrata
$8,648 Vol.
23%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-16 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Trader consensus favors the Republican Party at 74% implied probability to win Florida's 16th Congressional District House seat, reflecting the district's Solid Republican rating and R+7 Cook Partisan Voting Index in the Sarasota-Bradenton area. Incumbent Vern Buchanan's January retirement opened the race, but strong GOP contenders—including Trump-endorsed Sydney Gruters, John Peters, Ed Pope, and Eddie Speir—bolster expectations of a party hold, consistent with Buchanan's prior 60% victories. Democrats, with candidates like Jonathan Harris and Tamika Lyles, trail at 23% amid the district's conservative lean and Florida's midterm dynamics. Primaries on August 18 could shape nominees, though no recent polls show shifts.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-16 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado abierto: Jan 28, 2026, 10:48 AM ET
Volumen
$14,352Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 10:48 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-16 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Trader consensus favors the Republican Party at 74% implied probability to win Florida's 16th Congressional District House seat, reflecting the district's Solid Republican rating and R+7 Cook Partisan Voting Index in the Sarasota-Bradenton area. Incumbent Vern Buchanan's January retirement opened the race, but strong GOP contenders—including Trump-endorsed Sydney Gruters, John Peters, Ed Pope, and Eddie Speir—bolster expectations of a party hold, consistent with Buchanan's prior 60% victories. Democrats, with candidates like Jonathan Harris and Tamika Lyles, trail at 23% amid the district's conservative lean and Florida's midterm dynamics. Primaries on August 18 could shape nominees, though no recent polls show shifts.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-16 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$14,352Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 10:48 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus favors the Republican Party at 74% implied probability to win Florida's 16th Congressional District House seat, reflecting the district's Solid Republican rating and R+7 Cook Partisan Voting Index in the Sarasota-Bradenton area. Incumbent Vern Buchanan's January retirement opened the race, but strong GOP contenders—including Trump-endorsed Sydney Gruters, John Peters, Ed Pope, and Eddie Speir—bolster expectations of a party hold, consistent with Buchanan's prior 60% victories. Democrats, with candidates like Jonathan Harris and Tamika Lyles, trail at 23% amid the district's conservative lean and Florida's midterm dynamics. Primaries on August 18 could shape nominees, though no recent polls show shifts.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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