Recent official data from the CDC and WHO show a localized Ebola outbreak caused by the Bundibugyo virus in Ituri Province of the Democratic Republic of the Congo and limited imported cases in Uganda, with hundreds of confirmed and suspected cases and dozens of deaths as of early June 2026. Declared a public health emergency of international concern on May 17 but explicitly not meeting pandemic criteria, the event remains confined to central Africa due to active surveillance, contact tracing, and cross-border measures, with no confirmed transmission outside the region and low risk to the general U.S. public. Trader consensus at 92.5% for no pandemic reflects this contained epidemiology and historical precedent of successful containment for similar strains, though scenarios such as accelerated spread amid regional insecurity or unexpected increases in transmissibility could alter outcomes ahead of year-end resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoEbola pandemic in 2026?
Ebola pandemic in 2026?
$426,081 Vol.
$426,081 Vol.
31 dic 2026
$426,081 Vol.
$426,081 Vol.
31 dic 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the World Health Organization explicitly characterizes Ebola virus disease, Ebola, any Ebola strain, or any outbreak of ebola as a “pandemic” in an official public communication between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An explicit characterization includes official WHO statements, reports, press briefings, or publications that clearly describe the outbreak as a “pandemic.” A Public Health Emergency of International Concern (PHEIC) alone will not qualify unless it is also described as a pandemic.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official WHO communications. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Recent official data from the CDC and WHO show a localized Ebola outbreak caused by the Bundibugyo virus in Ituri Province of the Democratic Republic of the Congo and limited imported cases in Uganda, with hundreds of confirmed and suspected cases and dozens of deaths as of early June 2026. Declared a public health emergency of international concern on May 17 but explicitly not meeting pandemic criteria, the event remains confined to central Africa due to active surveillance, contact tracing, and cross-border measures, with no confirmed transmission outside the region and low risk to the general U.S. public. Trader consensus at 92.5% for no pandemic reflects this contained epidemiology and historical precedent of successful containment for similar strains, though scenarios such as accelerated spread amid regional insecurity or unexpected increases in transmissibility could alter outcomes ahead of year-end resolution.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the World Health Organization explicitly characterizes Ebola virus disease, Ebola, any Ebola strain, or any outbreak of ebola as a “pandemic” in an official public communication between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An explicit characterization includes official WHO statements, reports, press briefings, or publications that clearly describe the outbreak as a “pandemic.” A Public Health Emergency of International Concern (PHEIC) alone will not qualify unless it is also described as a pandemic.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official WHO communications. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An explicit characterization includes official WHO statements, reports, press briefings, or publications that clearly describe the outbreak as a “pandemic.” A Public Health Emergency of International Concern (PHEIC) alone will not qualify unless it is also described as a pandemic.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official WHO communications. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado abierto: May 15, 2026, 3:03 PM ET
Volumen
$426,081Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026Mercado abierto
May 15, 2026, 3:03 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if the World Health Organization explicitly characterizes Ebola virus disease, Ebola, any Ebola strain, or any outbreak of ebola as a “pandemic” in an official public communication between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An explicit characterization includes official WHO statements, reports, press briefings, or publications that clearly describe the outbreak as a “pandemic.” A Public Health Emergency of International Concern (PHEIC) alone will not qualify unless it is also described as a pandemic.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official WHO communications. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Recent official data from the CDC and WHO show a localized Ebola outbreak caused by the Bundibugyo virus in Ituri Province of the Democratic Republic of the Congo and limited imported cases in Uganda, with hundreds of confirmed and suspected cases and dozens of deaths as of early June 2026. Declared a public health emergency of international concern on May 17 but explicitly not meeting pandemic criteria, the event remains confined to central Africa due to active surveillance, contact tracing, and cross-border measures, with no confirmed transmission outside the region and low risk to the general U.S. public. Trader consensus at 92.5% for no pandemic reflects this contained epidemiology and historical precedent of successful containment for similar strains, though scenarios such as accelerated spread amid regional insecurity or unexpected increases in transmissibility could alter outcomes ahead of year-end resolution.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the World Health Organization explicitly characterizes Ebola virus disease, Ebola, any Ebola strain, or any outbreak of ebola as a “pandemic” in an official public communication between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An explicit characterization includes official WHO statements, reports, press briefings, or publications that clearly describe the outbreak as a “pandemic.” A Public Health Emergency of International Concern (PHEIC) alone will not qualify unless it is also described as a pandemic.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official WHO communications. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An explicit characterization includes official WHO statements, reports, press briefings, or publications that clearly describe the outbreak as a “pandemic.” A Public Health Emergency of International Concern (PHEIC) alone will not qualify unless it is also described as a pandemic.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official WHO communications. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$426,203Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026Mercado abierto
May 15, 2026, 3:03 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Recent official data from the CDC and WHO show a localized Ebola outbreak caused by the Bundibugyo virus in Ituri Province of the Democratic Republic of the Congo and limited imported cases in Uganda, with hundreds of confirmed and suspected cases and dozens of deaths as of early June 2026. Declared a public health emergency of international concern on May 17 but explicitly not meeting pandemic criteria, the event remains confined to central Africa due to active surveillance, contact tracing, and cross-border measures, with no confirmed transmission outside the region and low risk to the general U.S. public. Trader consensus at 92.5% for no pandemic reflects this contained epidemiology and historical precedent of successful containment for similar strains, though scenarios such as accelerated spread amid regional insecurity or unexpected increases in transmissibility could alter outcomes ahead of year-end resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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