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icon for ¿Caso de ébola en EE. UU. antes del 30 de junio?

¿Caso de ébola en EE. UU. antes del 30 de junio?

icon for ¿Caso de ébola en EE. UU. antes del 30 de junio?

¿Caso de ébola en EE. UU. antes del 30 de junio?

Sí

20% probabilidad
Polymarket

$234,393 Vol.

Sí

20% probabilidad
Polymarket

$234,393 Vol.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a confirmed case of Ebola in the territory of the United States of America reported between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Any active laboratory-confirmed Ebola infection identified within U.S. territory will qualify, regardless of where exposure, symptom onset, or testing occurred. The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information (e.g., the CDC); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.The 80% market-implied probability of no Ebola case in the US by June 30 stems primarily from CDC assessments that the risk to the American public remains low, supported by the Bundibugyo virus outbreak's concentration in remote Ituri Province of the Democratic Republic of the Congo and limited spread into Uganda since its May 2026 declaration as a public health emergency of international concern. Official surveillance reports hundreds of suspected and confirmed cases with no detections in the United States, bolstered by enhanced airport screening and entry restrictions for travelers from affected areas implemented in mid-May. Short remaining timeframe, combined with evacuations of exposed US personnel to European facilities rather than domestic hospitals, further reinforces trader consensus on contained importation risk despite ongoing transmission dynamics.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a confirmed case of Ebola in the territory of the United States of America reported between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Any active laboratory-confirmed Ebola infection identified within U.S. territory will qualify, regardless of where exposure, symptom onset, or testing occurred.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information (e.g., the CDC); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
Volumen
$234,393
Fecha de finalización
30 jun 2026
Mercado abierto
May 15, 2026, 3:04 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a confirmed case of Ebola in the territory of the United States of America reported between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Any active laboratory-confirmed Ebola infection identified within U.S. territory will qualify, regardless of where exposure, symptom onset, or testing occurred. The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information (e.g., the CDC); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a confirmed case of Ebola in the territory of the United States of America reported between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Any active laboratory-confirmed Ebola infection identified within U.S. territory will qualify, regardless of where exposure, symptom onset, or testing occurred. The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information (e.g., the CDC); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.The 80% market-implied probability of no Ebola case in the US by June 30 stems primarily from CDC assessments that the risk to the American public remains low, supported by the Bundibugyo virus outbreak's concentration in remote Ituri Province of the Democratic Republic of the Congo and limited spread into Uganda since its May 2026 declaration as a public health emergency of international concern. Official surveillance reports hundreds of suspected and confirmed cases with no detections in the United States, bolstered by enhanced airport screening and entry restrictions for travelers from affected areas implemented in mid-May. Short remaining timeframe, combined with evacuations of exposed US personnel to European facilities rather than domestic hospitals, further reinforces trader consensus on contained importation risk despite ongoing transmission dynamics.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a confirmed case of Ebola in the territory of the United States of America reported between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Any active laboratory-confirmed Ebola infection identified within U.S. territory will qualify, regardless of where exposure, symptom onset, or testing occurred.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information (e.g., the CDC); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
Volumen
$234,475
Fecha de finalización
30 jun 2026
Mercado abierto
May 15, 2026, 3:04 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a confirmed case of Ebola in the territory of the United States of America reported between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Any active laboratory-confirmed Ebola infection identified within U.S. territory will qualify, regardless of where exposure, symptom onset, or testing occurred. The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information (e.g., the CDC); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"¿Caso de ébola en EE. UU. antes del 30 de junio?" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 2 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "¿Habrá algún caso de Ébola en EE. UU. para el 30 de junio?" con 20%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 20¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 20% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "¿Caso de ébola en EE. UU. antes del 30 de junio?" ha generado $234.4K en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el May 15, 2026. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "¿Caso de ébola en EE. UU. antes del 30 de junio?", explora los 2 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "¿Caso de ébola en EE. UU. antes del 30 de junio?" es "¿Habrá algún caso de Ébola en EE. UU. para el 30 de junio?" con 20%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 20% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "¿Caso de ébola en EE. UU. antes del 30 de junio?" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.