Trader consensus favors former New Britain Mayor Erin Stewart at 49% to win the Connecticut Republican gubernatorial primary on August 11, driven by her early internal polling lead and name recognition from multiple terms as mayor, though recent scandals have narrowed her edge over State Sen. Ryan Fazio (34.5%). In the past week, a criminal probe into New Britain’s tax office for alleged backdating—tied to her administration—and her April 30 revelation of seeking a nonexistent deferred pension benefit as she left office have eroded support, boosting Fazio’s higher net favorability from February Nutmeg State polling (+39% vs. her +18%) and endorsements from top Connecticut Republicans. Former Rep. Harry Arora (9.9%) draws on past vote-getting strength, while ex-NY Lt. Gov. Betsy McCaughey (8.5%) and activist Timothy Wilcox (2.3%) lag amid lower visibility; the May GOP convention could consolidate delegates or force a primary.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoErin Stewart 49%
Ryan Fazio 37%
Betsy McCaughey 9%
Harry Arora 8.0%
$12,639 Vol.
$12,639 Vol.
Erin Stewart
49%
Ryan Fazio
37%
Betsy McCaughey
9%
Harry Arora
16%
Timothy Wilcox
2%
Erin Stewart 49%
Ryan Fazio 37%
Betsy McCaughey 9%
Harry Arora 8.0%
$12,639 Vol.
$12,639 Vol.
Erin Stewart
49%
Ryan Fazio
37%
Betsy McCaughey
9%
Harry Arora
16%
Timothy Wilcox
2%
If no 2026 Connecticut Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Connecticut Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Mercado abierto: Dec 5, 2025, 9:57 AM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no 2026 Connecticut Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Connecticut Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus favors former New Britain Mayor Erin Stewart at 49% to win the Connecticut Republican gubernatorial primary on August 11, driven by her early internal polling lead and name recognition from multiple terms as mayor, though recent scandals have narrowed her edge over State Sen. Ryan Fazio (34.5%). In the past week, a criminal probe into New Britain’s tax office for alleged backdating—tied to her administration—and her April 30 revelation of seeking a nonexistent deferred pension benefit as she left office have eroded support, boosting Fazio’s higher net favorability from February Nutmeg State polling (+39% vs. her +18%) and endorsements from top Connecticut Republicans. Former Rep. Harry Arora (9.9%) draws on past vote-getting strength, while ex-NY Lt. Gov. Betsy McCaughey (8.5%) and activist Timothy Wilcox (2.3%) lag amid lower visibility; the May GOP convention could consolidate delegates or force a primary.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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