Trader consensus favors 54-57% turnout at 38.5% implied probability for Colombia's May 31 first-round presidential election, aligning with 2022's approximately 55% participation amid a registered electorate of 41 million. Recent March 8 legislative and primary elections saw turnout near 50%, signaling persistent abstentionism above 50%, but higher stakes in the presidential race—with closely matched frontrunners like leftist Iván Cepeda and center-right contenders Paloma Valencia and Abelardo de la Espriella—have spurred mobilization. April Invamer polling indicates strong voter intention, while experts like Cifras & Conceptos forecast 58-68% or 20-23 million voters. Final campaign surges, security in violence-prone areas, and weather could tip toward 57-60% or below 54%, maintaining tight odds across bins.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado54-57% 53%
57-60% 28%
60%+ 28%
48-51% 27%
NUEVO
NUEVO
31 may 2026
<48%
18%
48-51%
27%
51-54%
26%
54-57%
41%
57-60%
28%
60%+
28%
54-57% 53%
57-60% 28%
60%+ 28%
48-51% 27%
NUEVO
NUEVO
31 may 2026
<48%
$16 Vol.
18%
48-51%
$0 Vol.
27%
51-54%
$0 Vol.
26%
54-57%
$6 Vol.
41%
57-60%
$0 Vol.
28%
60%+
$54 Vol.
28%
Colombia's presidential elections are scheduled for May 31, 2026, and a second round (if required) on June 21, 2026, in case no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the first round of the 2026 Colombia presidential election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the Colombian government, including Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).Trader consensus favors 54-57% turnout at 38.5% implied probability for Colombia's May 31 first-round presidential election, aligning with 2022's approximately 55% participation amid a registered electorate of 41 million. Recent March 8 legislative and primary elections saw turnout near 50%, signaling persistent abstentionism above 50%, but higher stakes in the presidential race—with closely matched frontrunners like leftist Iván Cepeda and center-right contenders Paloma Valencia and Abelardo de la Espriella—have spurred mobilization. April Invamer polling indicates strong voter intention, while experts like Cifras & Conceptos forecast 58-68% or 20-23 million voters. Final campaign surges, security in violence-prone areas, and weather could tip toward 57-60% or below 54%, maintaining tight odds across bins.
Colombia's presidential elections are scheduled for May 31, 2026, and a second round (if required) on June 21, 2026, in case no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the first round of the 2026 Colombia presidential election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the Colombian government, including Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the first round of the 2026 Colombia presidential election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the Colombian government, including Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).
Mercado abierto: Apr 21, 2026, 3:32 PM ET
Volumen
$76Fecha de finalización
31 may 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 21, 2026, 3:32 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Colombia's presidential elections are scheduled for May 31, 2026, and a second round (if required) on June 21, 2026, in case no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the first round of the 2026 Colombia presidential election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the Colombian government, including Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).Trader consensus favors 54-57% turnout at 38.5% implied probability for Colombia's May 31 first-round presidential election, aligning with 2022's approximately 55% participation amid a registered electorate of 41 million. Recent March 8 legislative and primary elections saw turnout near 50%, signaling persistent abstentionism above 50%, but higher stakes in the presidential race—with closely matched frontrunners like leftist Iván Cepeda and center-right contenders Paloma Valencia and Abelardo de la Espriella—have spurred mobilization. April Invamer polling indicates strong voter intention, while experts like Cifras & Conceptos forecast 58-68% or 20-23 million voters. Final campaign surges, security in violence-prone areas, and weather could tip toward 57-60% or below 54%, maintaining tight odds across bins.
Colombia's presidential elections are scheduled for May 31, 2026, and a second round (if required) on June 21, 2026, in case no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the first round of the 2026 Colombia presidential election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the Colombian government, including Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the first round of the 2026 Colombia presidential election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the Colombian government, including Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).
Volumen
$76Fecha de finalización
31 may 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 21, 2026, 3:32 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus favors 54-57% turnout at 38.5% implied probability for Colombia's May 31 first-round presidential election, aligning with 2022's approximately 55% participation amid a registered electorate of 41 million. Recent March 8 legislative and primary elections saw turnout near 50%, signaling persistent abstentionism above 50%, but higher stakes in the presidential race—with closely matched frontrunners like leftist Iván Cepeda and center-right contenders Paloma Valencia and Abelardo de la Espriella—have spurred mobilization. April Invamer polling indicates strong voter intention, while experts like Cifras & Conceptos forecast 58-68% or 20-23 million voters. Final campaign surges, security in violence-prone areas, and weather could tip toward 57-60% or below 54%, maintaining tight odds across bins.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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