State Rep. Manny Rutinel's dominant trader consensus at 83.5% in the CO-08 Democratic primary stems from his superior fundraising—leading rivals through early 2026—and strong appeal in the 40% Latino district, bolstered by his immigrant background and legislative record on issues like the Earned Income Tax Credit. The field has consolidated into a two-way contest with former Rep. Shannon Bird at 13% after ex-incumbent Yadira Caraveo exited in September 2025 amid personal challenges, and others like Dave Young fading. A Bird internal poll (April 20-22) showed her edging Rutinel 25%-24% with 45% undecided, yet traders discount it amid Rutinel's momentum ahead of the June 30 primary.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoManny Rutinel 84%
Shannon Bird 13%
Yadira Caraveo <1%
John Szemler <1%
$16,898 Vol.
$16,898 Vol.
Manny Rutinel
84%
Shannon Bird
13%
Yadira Caraveo
<1%
John Szemler
<1%
Amie Baca-Oehlert
<1%
Dave Young
<1%
Manny Rutinel 84%
Shannon Bird 13%
Yadira Caraveo <1%
John Szemler <1%
$16,898 Vol.
$16,898 Vol.
Manny Rutinel
84%
Shannon Bird
13%
Yadira Caraveo
<1%
John Szemler
<1%
Amie Baca-Oehlert
<1%
Dave Young
<1%
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Mercado abierto: Nov 25, 2025, 4:12 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...State Rep. Manny Rutinel's dominant trader consensus at 83.5% in the CO-08 Democratic primary stems from his superior fundraising—leading rivals through early 2026—and strong appeal in the 40% Latino district, bolstered by his immigrant background and legislative record on issues like the Earned Income Tax Credit. The field has consolidated into a two-way contest with former Rep. Shannon Bird at 13% after ex-incumbent Yadira Caraveo exited in September 2025 amid personal challenges, and others like Dave Young fading. A Bird internal poll (April 20-22) showed her edging Rutinel 25%-24% with 45% undecided, yet traders discount it amid Rutinel's momentum ahead of the June 30 primary.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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