Incumbent Republican Jeff Crank commands trader consensus at 64.5% implied probability to retain Colorado's 5th Congressional District, buoyed by the seat's structural Republican lean in Colorado Springs and his fundraising edge exceeding $4.5 million. Recent Democratic targeting by the DCCC since February, coupled with Army veteran Jessica Killin's internal polling strength over Joe Reagan ahead of the June 30 primary, has narrowed the gap to 36% for Democrats but failed to shift forecasters from Lean R ratings as of late April. Contested Democratic primary dynamics risk nominee fatigue, while Crank faces minimal Republican primary opposition, underscoring path-to-victory challenges for challengers in this battleground.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoCO-05 Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara
CO-05 Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara
NUEVO
NUEVO
3 nov 2026
Partido Republicano
60%
Partido Demócrata
36%
NUEVO
NUEVO
3 nov 2026
Partido Republicano
$515 Vol.
60%
Partido Demócrata
$3,542 Vol.
36%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CO-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Jeff Crank commands trader consensus at 64.5% implied probability to retain Colorado's 5th Congressional District, buoyed by the seat's structural Republican lean in Colorado Springs and his fundraising edge exceeding $4.5 million. Recent Democratic targeting by the DCCC since February, coupled with Army veteran Jessica Killin's internal polling strength over Joe Reagan ahead of the June 30 primary, has narrowed the gap to 36% for Democrats but failed to shift forecasters from Lean R ratings as of late April. Contested Democratic primary dynamics risk nominee fatigue, while Crank faces minimal Republican primary opposition, underscoring path-to-victory challenges for challengers in this battleground.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CO-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado abierto: Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ET
Volumen
$4,056Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CO-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Jeff Crank commands trader consensus at 64.5% implied probability to retain Colorado's 5th Congressional District, buoyed by the seat's structural Republican lean in Colorado Springs and his fundraising edge exceeding $4.5 million. Recent Democratic targeting by the DCCC since February, coupled with Army veteran Jessica Killin's internal polling strength over Joe Reagan ahead of the June 30 primary, has narrowed the gap to 36% for Democrats but failed to shift forecasters from Lean R ratings as of late April. Contested Democratic primary dynamics risk nominee fatigue, while Crank faces minimal Republican primary opposition, underscoring path-to-victory challenges for challengers in this battleground.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CO-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$4,056Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Jeff Crank commands trader consensus at 64.5% implied probability to retain Colorado's 5th Congressional District, buoyed by the seat's structural Republican lean in Colorado Springs and his fundraising edge exceeding $4.5 million. Recent Democratic targeting by the DCCC since February, coupled with Army veteran Jessica Killin's internal polling strength over Joe Reagan ahead of the June 30 primary, has narrowed the gap to 36% for Democrats but failed to shift forecasters from Lean R ratings as of late April. Contested Democratic primary dynamics risk nominee fatigue, while Crank faces minimal Republican primary opposition, underscoring path-to-victory challenges for challengers in this battleground.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes