Trader consensus heavily favors Democratic Party candidate Shin Yong-han at 92% implied probability to win the June 3 Chungcheongbuk-do gubernatorial election, driven by the party's national approval surge to 48% contrasted with the People Power Party's plunge to a five-year low of 15% in late April amid internal resignation demands and leadership turmoil. Primaries recently concluded, confirming Shin on April 4 after a runoff and incumbent Governor Kim Young-hwan on April 27 despite his prior court suspension. No fresh regional polls have emerged, but national momentum and Shin's strong primary performance bolster his frontrunner status; upset scenarios include a major Shin scandal, PPP incumbency rebound, or localized voter backlash on economic issues before election day.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoGanador de las elecciones para gobernador de la provincia de Chungcheongbuk
Ganador de las elecciones para gobernador de la provincia de Chungcheongbuk
Shin Yong-han 91%
Kim Young-hwan 5.7%
Noh Yeong-min 4.3%
Lee Jong-bae 1.0%
$27,952 Vol.
$27,952 Vol.
Shin Yong-han
91%
Kim Young-hwan
6%
Noh Yeong-min
4%
Lee Jong-bae
6%
Cho Gil-hyeong
<1%
Yoon Hee-geun
<1%
Do Jong-hwan
<1%
Song Ki-sub
<1%
Shin Yong-han 91%
Kim Young-hwan 5.7%
Noh Yeong-min 4.3%
Lee Jong-bae 1.0%
$27,952 Vol.
$27,952 Vol.
Shin Yong-han
91%
Kim Young-hwan
6%
Noh Yeong-min
4%
Lee Jong-bae
6%
Cho Gil-hyeong
<1%
Yoon Hee-geun
<1%
Do Jong-hwan
<1%
Song Ki-sub
<1%
This market will resolve according to the candidate that wins this election.
If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission (https://www.nec.go.kr/).
Mercado abierto: Nov 18, 2025, 12:08 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the candidate that wins this election.
If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission (https://www.nec.go.kr/).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus heavily favors Democratic Party candidate Shin Yong-han at 92% implied probability to win the June 3 Chungcheongbuk-do gubernatorial election, driven by the party's national approval surge to 48% contrasted with the People Power Party's plunge to a five-year low of 15% in late April amid internal resignation demands and leadership turmoil. Primaries recently concluded, confirming Shin on April 4 after a runoff and incumbent Governor Kim Young-hwan on April 27 despite his prior court suspension. No fresh regional polls have emerged, but national momentum and Shin's strong primary performance bolster his frontrunner status; upset scenarios include a major Shin scandal, PPP incumbency rebound, or localized voter backlash on economic issues before election day.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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