Trader consensus heavily favors Democratic Party of Korea candidate Shin Yong-han at 94.5% implied probability for the June 3 Chungcheongbuk-do gubernatorial election, driven by recent polls showing him leading incumbent People Power Party Governor Kim Young-hwan by 10-20 points, such as a late-April Media Taehee/Media Night survey (49.5% to 38.7%) and an April 24 poll (51.2% to 30.9%). PPP's nomination turmoil—including Kim's initial cutoff, court injunction, and primary win on April 27—has eroded conservative unity, boosting DPK momentum amid favorable national trends. While incumbency aids Kim historically in this battleground province, challenges to Shin's lead could arise from late scandals, unified PPP turnout, or shifts in undecided voters ahead of early voting.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoGanador de las elecciones para gobernador de la provincia de Chungcheongbuk
Ganador de las elecciones para gobernador de la provincia de Chungcheongbuk
Shin Yong-han 95%
Kim Young-hwan 3.1%
Noh Yeong-min 2.4%
Lee Jong-bae <1%
$28,423 Vol.
$28,423 Vol.
Shin Yong-han
95%
Kim Young-hwan
3%
Noh Yeong-min
2%
Lee Jong-bae
1%
Cho Gil-hyeong
<1%
Yoon Hee-geun
<1%
Do Jong-hwan
<1%
Song Ki-sub
<1%
Shin Yong-han 95%
Kim Young-hwan 3.1%
Noh Yeong-min 2.4%
Lee Jong-bae <1%
$28,423 Vol.
$28,423 Vol.
Shin Yong-han
95%
Kim Young-hwan
3%
Noh Yeong-min
2%
Lee Jong-bae
1%
Cho Gil-hyeong
<1%
Yoon Hee-geun
<1%
Do Jong-hwan
<1%
Song Ki-sub
<1%
This market will resolve according to the candidate that wins this election.
If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission (https://www.nec.go.kr/).
Mercado abierto: Nov 18, 2025, 12:08 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the candidate that wins this election.
If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission (https://www.nec.go.kr/).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus heavily favors Democratic Party of Korea candidate Shin Yong-han at 94.5% implied probability for the June 3 Chungcheongbuk-do gubernatorial election, driven by recent polls showing him leading incumbent People Power Party Governor Kim Young-hwan by 10-20 points, such as a late-April Media Taehee/Media Night survey (49.5% to 38.7%) and an April 24 poll (51.2% to 30.9%). PPP's nomination turmoil—including Kim's initial cutoff, court injunction, and primary win on April 27—has eroded conservative unity, boosting DPK momentum amid favorable national trends. While incumbency aids Kim historically in this battleground province, challenges to Shin's lead could arise from late scandals, unified PPP turnout, or shifts in undecided voters ahead of early voting.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes