Democratic Party candidate Shin Yong-han commands trader consensus at 91.5% implied probability for the June 3 Chungcheongbuk Province gubernatorial election, driven by consistent double-digit polling leads over incumbent People Power Party Governor Kim Young-hwan. Late April surveys, including a Golden Times ARS poll (51.2% Shin vs. 30.9% Kim) and a Media Taehee poll (49.5% vs. 38.7%), underscore Shin's edge in Cheongju and among 40-60-year-olds, bolstered by his decisive April 4 primary win amid DPK national momentum. Kim's nomination turmoil, including a court-suspended exclusion resolved April 27, eroded incumbent advantages. Upsets could arise from a Shin scandal, conservative turnout surge, or PPP policy breakthroughs before election day.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoGanador de las elecciones para gobernador de la provincia de Chungcheongbuk
Ganador de las elecciones para gobernador de la provincia de Chungcheongbuk
Shin Yong-han 92%
Kim Young-hwan 6.3%
Lee Jong-bae 2.5%
Noh Yeong-min 1.2%
$27,952 Vol.
$27,952 Vol.
Shin Yong-han
92%
Kim Young-hwan
6%
Lee Jong-bae
2%
Noh Yeong-min
1%
Cho Gil-hyeong
1%
Yoon Hee-geun
<1%
Do Jong-hwan
<1%
Song Ki-sub
<1%
Shin Yong-han 92%
Kim Young-hwan 6.3%
Lee Jong-bae 2.5%
Noh Yeong-min 1.2%
$27,952 Vol.
$27,952 Vol.
Shin Yong-han
92%
Kim Young-hwan
6%
Lee Jong-bae
2%
Noh Yeong-min
1%
Cho Gil-hyeong
1%
Yoon Hee-geun
<1%
Do Jong-hwan
<1%
Song Ki-sub
<1%
This market will resolve according to the candidate that wins this election.
If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission (https://www.nec.go.kr/).
Mercado abierto: Nov 18, 2025, 12:08 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the candidate that wins this election.
If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission (https://www.nec.go.kr/).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Democratic Party candidate Shin Yong-han commands trader consensus at 91.5% implied probability for the June 3 Chungcheongbuk Province gubernatorial election, driven by consistent double-digit polling leads over incumbent People Power Party Governor Kim Young-hwan. Late April surveys, including a Golden Times ARS poll (51.2% Shin vs. 30.9% Kim) and a Media Taehee poll (49.5% vs. 38.7%), underscore Shin's edge in Cheongju and among 40-60-year-olds, bolstered by his decisive April 4 primary win amid DPK national momentum. Kim's nomination turmoil, including a court-suspended exclusion resolved April 27, eroded incumbent advantages. Upsets could arise from a Shin scandal, conservative turnout surge, or PPP policy breakthroughs before election day.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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