Incumbent President Iliana Iotova leads trader consensus at 55% implied probability for Bulgaria's autumn 2026 presidential election, bolstered by her ally Rumen Radev's Progressive Bulgaria party securing a parliamentary majority in the April 19 National Assembly vote that ended prolonged political deadlock. As the first female head of state since assuming office in January following Radev's resignation, Iotova benefits from incumbency and bloc momentum in a fragmented field. Nikolai Denkov of the reformist We Continue the Change-Democratic Bulgaria coalition trails at 19%, while GERB's Rosen Zhelyazkov stands at 9%, reflecting divided opposition amid ongoing coalition negotiations. The two-round direct vote favors continuity, with no recent polls shifting the closely watched race ahead of the first-round ballot.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoElecciones presidenciales de Bulgaria
Elecciones presidenciales de Bulgaria
Iliana Iotova 55%
Nikolai Denkov 19%
Rosen Zhelyazkov 10%
Boyko Borissov 3.3%
$84,443 Vol.
$84,443 Vol.

Iliana Iotova
55%

Nikolai Denkov
19%

Rosen Zhelyazkov
10%

Boyko Borissov
3%

Vassil Terziev
1%

Blagomir Kotsev
1%

Kostadin Kostadinov
1%

Atanas Atanasov
<1%

Delyan Peevski
<1%

Rosen Plevneliev
<1%

Krum Zarkov
<1%

Yanaki Stoilov
<1%

Natalia Kiselova
<1%
Iliana Iotova 55%
Nikolai Denkov 19%
Rosen Zhelyazkov 10%
Boyko Borissov 3.3%
$84,443 Vol.
$84,443 Vol.

Iliana Iotova
55%

Nikolai Denkov
19%

Rosen Zhelyazkov
10%

Boyko Borissov
3%

Vassil Terziev
1%

Blagomir Kotsev
1%

Kostadin Kostadinov
1%

Atanas Atanasov
<1%

Delyan Peevski
<1%

Rosen Plevneliev
<1%

Krum Zarkov
<1%

Yanaki Stoilov
<1%

Natalia Kiselova
<1%
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next presidential election in Bulgaria.
This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission (Centralna izbiratelna komisia, CEC) (www.cik.bg/).
Mercado abierto: Jan 19, 2026, 3:12 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next presidential election in Bulgaria.
This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission (Centralna izbiratelna komisia, CEC) (www.cik.bg/).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent President Iliana Iotova leads trader consensus at 55% implied probability for Bulgaria's autumn 2026 presidential election, bolstered by her ally Rumen Radev's Progressive Bulgaria party securing a parliamentary majority in the April 19 National Assembly vote that ended prolonged political deadlock. As the first female head of state since assuming office in January following Radev's resignation, Iotova benefits from incumbency and bloc momentum in a fragmented field. Nikolai Denkov of the reformist We Continue the Change-Democratic Bulgaria coalition trails at 19%, while GERB's Rosen Zhelyazkov stands at 9%, reflecting divided opposition amid ongoing coalition negotiations. The two-round direct vote favors continuity, with no recent polls shifting the closely watched race ahead of the first-round ballot.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes