Incumbent President Iliana Iotova leads trader consensus at 54.5% implied probability for the autumn 2026 presidential election, bolstered by her assumption of office in January following Rumen Radev's resignation to lead Progressive Bulgaria to a parliamentary majority on April 19—ending five years of repeated snap votes and coalition instability. This voter mandate for continuity amid economic pressures and EU integration challenges has elevated Iotova, Radev's former vice president, as the frontrunner in a two-round direct election. Nikolai Denkov, ex-Prime Minister from the pro-EU We Continue the Change-Democratic Bulgaria alliance that faltered in parliament, trails at 19%, while GERB's Rosen Zhelyazkov sits at 9.5% after his December 2025 government resignation amid anti-corruption protests weakened the party's position. Upcoming nominations and potential runoff dynamics could shift odds.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoElecciones presidenciales de Bulgaria
Elecciones presidenciales de Bulgaria
Iliana Iotova 55%
Nikolai Denkov 19%
Rosen Zhelyazkov 9%
Boyko Borissov 3.5%
$84,443 Vol.
$84,443 Vol.

Iliana Iotova
55%

Nikolai Denkov
19%

Rosen Zhelyazkov
9%

Boyko Borissov
3%

Vassil Terziev
1%

Blagomir Kotsev
1%

Kostadin Kostadinov
1%

Atanas Atanasov
<1%

Delyan Peevski
<1%

Rosen Plevneliev
<1%

Krum Zarkov
<1%

Yanaki Stoilov
<1%

Natalia Kiselova
<1%
Iliana Iotova 55%
Nikolai Denkov 19%
Rosen Zhelyazkov 9%
Boyko Borissov 3.5%
$84,443 Vol.
$84,443 Vol.

Iliana Iotova
55%

Nikolai Denkov
19%

Rosen Zhelyazkov
9%

Boyko Borissov
3%

Vassil Terziev
1%

Blagomir Kotsev
1%

Kostadin Kostadinov
1%

Atanas Atanasov
<1%

Delyan Peevski
<1%

Rosen Plevneliev
<1%

Krum Zarkov
<1%

Yanaki Stoilov
<1%

Natalia Kiselova
<1%
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next presidential election in Bulgaria.
This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission (Centralna izbiratelna komisia, CEC) (www.cik.bg/).
Mercado abierto: Jan 19, 2026, 3:12 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next presidential election in Bulgaria.
This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission (Centralna izbiratelna komisia, CEC) (www.cik.bg/).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent President Iliana Iotova leads trader consensus at 54.5% implied probability for the autumn 2026 presidential election, bolstered by her assumption of office in January following Rumen Radev's resignation to lead Progressive Bulgaria to a parliamentary majority on April 19—ending five years of repeated snap votes and coalition instability. This voter mandate for continuity amid economic pressures and EU integration challenges has elevated Iotova, Radev's former vice president, as the frontrunner in a two-round direct election. Nikolai Denkov, ex-Prime Minister from the pro-EU We Continue the Change-Democratic Bulgaria alliance that faltered in parliament, trails at 19%, while GERB's Rosen Zhelyazkov sits at 9.5% after his December 2025 government resignation amid anti-corruption protests weakened the party's position. Upcoming nominations and potential runoff dynamics could shift odds.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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