Supporters of California's 2026 Billionaire Tax Act, proposing a one-time 5% wealth tax on net worth exceeding $1 billion to fund healthcare and education, announced on April 26 they collected 1.5 million signatures—nearly double the threshold—securing likely placement on the November ballot. Recent polls, including a mid-April SurveyUSA survey showing 63% support and an Independent Voter Project poll at 55% favorability among likely voters, suggest voter backing, yet trader consensus implies a 55.5% "No" probability amid divergence from polling averages. This reflects opposition from Governor Newsom, tech leaders funding $35 million in counter-campaigns, Legislative Analyst's Office warnings of potential revenue losses from wealthy migration, and historical hurdles for state tax initiatives facing heavy spending. Signature validation deadlines loom by late June, with ad wars expected to sway undecideds.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoSí
$3,181,579 Vol.
$3,181,579 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Sí
$3,181,579 Vol.
$3,181,579 Vol.
3 nov 2026
A one-time wealth tax on billionaires has been proposed to potentially appear on California's ballot for the November 3, 2026 general election. You can read more about that here: https://6abc.com/post/california-union-proposes-taxing-billionaires-offset-medicaid-cuts-low-income-people/18066430/
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any proposition containing a one-time tax targeting individuals, households, or family units with wealth, assets, or net worth of at least $1 billion (USD or equivalent) passes in the named election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If no qualifying ballot initiative is certified to appear on the official statewide California ballot as a proposition to be voted on in the stated election by June 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (the official cutoff date for new initiatives to be approved), or if all qualifying propositions/initiatives are removed from the ballot or amended before the election such that the main threshold drops below $1 billion, this market will resolve "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the State of California, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Supporters of California's 2026 Billionaire Tax Act, proposing a one-time 5% wealth tax on net worth exceeding $1 billion to fund healthcare and education, announced on April 26 they collected 1.5 million signatures—nearly double the threshold—securing likely placement on the November ballot. Recent polls, including a mid-April SurveyUSA survey showing 63% support and an Independent Voter Project poll at 55% favorability among likely voters, suggest voter backing, yet trader consensus implies a 55.5% "No" probability amid divergence from polling averages. This reflects opposition from Governor Newsom, tech leaders funding $35 million in counter-campaigns, Legislative Analyst's Office warnings of potential revenue losses from wealthy migration, and historical hurdles for state tax initiatives facing heavy spending. Signature validation deadlines loom by late June, with ad wars expected to sway undecideds.
A one-time wealth tax on billionaires has been proposed to potentially appear on California's ballot for the November 3, 2026 general election. You can read more about that here: https://6abc.com/post/california-union-proposes-taxing-billionaires-offset-medicaid-cuts-low-income-people/18066430/
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any proposition containing a one-time tax targeting individuals, households, or family units with wealth, assets, or net worth of at least $1 billion (USD or equivalent) passes in the named election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If no qualifying ballot initiative is certified to appear on the official statewide California ballot as a proposition to be voted on in the stated election by June 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (the official cutoff date for new initiatives to be approved), or if all qualifying propositions/initiatives are removed from the ballot or amended before the election such that the main threshold drops below $1 billion, this market will resolve "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the State of California, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any proposition containing a one-time tax targeting individuals, households, or family units with wealth, assets, or net worth of at least $1 billion (USD or equivalent) passes in the named election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If no qualifying ballot initiative is certified to appear on the official statewide California ballot as a proposition to be voted on in the stated election by June 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (the official cutoff date for new initiatives to be approved), or if all qualifying propositions/initiatives are removed from the ballot or amended before the election such that the main threshold drops below $1 billion, this market will resolve "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the State of California, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado abierto: Oct 24, 2025, 3:48 PM ET
Volumen
$3,181,579Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Oct 24, 2025, 3:48 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...A one-time wealth tax on billionaires has been proposed to potentially appear on California's ballot for the November 3, 2026 general election. You can read more about that here: https://6abc.com/post/california-union-proposes-taxing-billionaires-offset-medicaid-cuts-low-income-people/18066430/
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any proposition containing a one-time tax targeting individuals, households, or family units with wealth, assets, or net worth of at least $1 billion (USD or equivalent) passes in the named election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If no qualifying ballot initiative is certified to appear on the official statewide California ballot as a proposition to be voted on in the stated election by June 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (the official cutoff date for new initiatives to be approved), or if all qualifying propositions/initiatives are removed from the ballot or amended before the election such that the main threshold drops below $1 billion, this market will resolve "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the State of California, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Supporters of California's 2026 Billionaire Tax Act, proposing a one-time 5% wealth tax on net worth exceeding $1 billion to fund healthcare and education, announced on April 26 they collected 1.5 million signatures—nearly double the threshold—securing likely placement on the November ballot. Recent polls, including a mid-April SurveyUSA survey showing 63% support and an Independent Voter Project poll at 55% favorability among likely voters, suggest voter backing, yet trader consensus implies a 55.5% "No" probability amid divergence from polling averages. This reflects opposition from Governor Newsom, tech leaders funding $35 million in counter-campaigns, Legislative Analyst's Office warnings of potential revenue losses from wealthy migration, and historical hurdles for state tax initiatives facing heavy spending. Signature validation deadlines loom by late June, with ad wars expected to sway undecideds.
A one-time wealth tax on billionaires has been proposed to potentially appear on California's ballot for the November 3, 2026 general election. You can read more about that here: https://6abc.com/post/california-union-proposes-taxing-billionaires-offset-medicaid-cuts-low-income-people/18066430/
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any proposition containing a one-time tax targeting individuals, households, or family units with wealth, assets, or net worth of at least $1 billion (USD or equivalent) passes in the named election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If no qualifying ballot initiative is certified to appear on the official statewide California ballot as a proposition to be voted on in the stated election by June 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (the official cutoff date for new initiatives to be approved), or if all qualifying propositions/initiatives are removed from the ballot or amended before the election such that the main threshold drops below $1 billion, this market will resolve "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the State of California, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any proposition containing a one-time tax targeting individuals, households, or family units with wealth, assets, or net worth of at least $1 billion (USD or equivalent) passes in the named election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If no qualifying ballot initiative is certified to appear on the official statewide California ballot as a proposition to be voted on in the stated election by June 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (the official cutoff date for new initiatives to be approved), or if all qualifying propositions/initiatives are removed from the ballot or amended before the election such that the main threshold drops below $1 billion, this market will resolve "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the State of California, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$3,181,579Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Oct 24, 2025, 3:48 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Supporters of California's 2026 Billionaire Tax Act, proposing a one-time 5% wealth tax on net worth exceeding $1 billion to fund healthcare and education, announced on April 26 they collected 1.5 million signatures—nearly double the threshold—securing likely placement on the November ballot. Recent polls, including a mid-April SurveyUSA survey showing 63% support and an Independent Voter Project poll at 55% favorability among likely voters, suggest voter backing, yet trader consensus implies a 55.5% "No" probability amid divergence from polling averages. This reflects opposition from Governor Newsom, tech leaders funding $35 million in counter-campaigns, Legislative Analyst's Office warnings of potential revenue losses from wealthy migration, and historical hurdles for state tax initiatives facing heavy spending. Signature validation deadlines loom by late June, with ad wars expected to sway undecideds.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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