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Política·Primarias

AZ-01 Ganador de las primarias republicanas

icon for AZ-01 Ganador de las primarias republicanas
Política·Primarias

AZ-01 Ganador de las primarias republicanas

Jay Feely 71%

Joseph Chaplik 20.9%

Matt Gress 1.2%

Derrick Gallego 1.1%

Polymarket

$403,936 Vol.

Jay Feely 71%

Joseph Chaplik 20.9%

Matt Gress 1.2%

Derrick Gallego 1.1%

Polymarket

$403,936 Vol.

Jay Feely

$7,426 Vol.

71%

Joseph Chaplik

$9,283 Vol.

21%

Matt Gress

$48,794 Vol.

1%

Derrick Gallego

$3,756 Vol.

1%

Jason Duey

$3,082 Vol.

1%

Muchelle Ugenti-Rita

$4,579 Vol.

1%

Kaitlin Purrington

$9,628 Vol.

1%

John Trobough

$3,515 Vol.

<1%

Todd Graham

$7,835 Vol.

<1%

Kari Lake

$6,822 Vol.

<1%

Gina Swoboda

$4,405 Vol.

<1%

Mark Brnovich

$61,426 Vol.

<1%

Paul Reevs

$222,563 Vol.

<1%

Brandon Sowers

$10,823 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the AZ-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 4, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Trader consensus in the AZ-01 Republican primary market gives former NFL kicker Jay Feely a commanding 69% implied probability to secure the nomination on July 21, propelled by high-profile endorsements from President Trump, the NRCC's MAGA Majority program, House Republican leadership, and most recently Rep. Juan Ciscomani on April 28. Feely's momentum has intensified following ex-AZ GOP chair Gina Swoboda's withdrawal earlier this year, positioning him as the establishment frontrunner in the open seat vacated by Rep. David Schweikert's gubernatorial run. State Rep. Joseph Chaplik, who resigned in February to campaign full-time, trails at 23.5% on his proven conservative legislative record and recent internal polling claims of a lead, though traders prioritize Feely's resources and institutional support in this competitive suburban district primary.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the AZ-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 4, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volumen
$403,936
Fecha de finalización
4 ago 2026
Mercado abierto
Nov 25, 2025, 5:19 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the AZ-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 4, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the AZ-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 4, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Trader consensus in the AZ-01 Republican primary market gives former NFL kicker Jay Feely a commanding 69% implied probability to secure the nomination on July 21, propelled by high-profile endorsements from President Trump, the NRCC's MAGA Majority program, House Republican leadership, and most recently Rep. Juan Ciscomani on April 28. Feely's momentum has intensified following ex-AZ GOP chair Gina Swoboda's withdrawal earlier this year, positioning him as the establishment frontrunner in the open seat vacated by Rep. David Schweikert's gubernatorial run. State Rep. Joseph Chaplik, who resigned in February to campaign full-time, trails at 23.5% on his proven conservative legislative record and recent internal polling claims of a lead, though traders prioritize Feely's resources and institutional support in this competitive suburban district primary.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the AZ-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 4, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volumen
$403,936
Fecha de finalización
4 ago 2026
Mercado abierto
Nov 25, 2025, 5:19 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the AZ-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 4, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"AZ-01 Ganador de las primarias republicanas" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 14 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "Jay Feely" con 71%, seguido de "Joseph Chaplik" con 21%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 71¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 71% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "AZ-01 Ganador de las primarias republicanas" ha generado $403.9K en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Nov 25, 2025. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "AZ-01 Ganador de las primarias republicanas", explora los 14 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "AZ-01 Ganador de las primarias republicanas" es "Jay Feely" con 71%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 71% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "Joseph Chaplik" con 21%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "AZ-01 Ganador de las primarias republicanas" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.