Exit polls released after Assam's single-phase assembly elections on April 9, 2026, with record 85.51% voter turnout, project a BJP-led NDA hat-trick victory, forecasting 88-100 seats for the alliance out of 126 amid strong support for Chief Minister Himanta Biswa Sarma's development record and incumbency edge. Pre-election opinion polls from Axis My India, CVoter, and Matrize similarly showed NDA leads of 92-102 seats over fragmented Congress+ alliances at 22-36, reflecting trader consensus on NDA dominance despite opposition pushes in pockets like Barak Valley. Counting on May 4 could confirm this, though rare polling errors or regional surges might narrow margins.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoGanador de las elecciones a la Asamblea Legislativa de Assam
Ganador de las elecciones a la Asamblea Legislativa de Assam
BJP 94.4%
INC 3.6%
CPI(M) <1%
NCP <1%
$170,001 Vol.
$170,001 Vol.

BJP
94%

INC
4%

CPI(M)
<1%

NCP
<1%

AIUDF
<1%

BPF
<1%

AITC
<1%

CPI
<1%

NPEP
<1%

AGP
<1%
BJP 94.4%
INC 3.6%
CPI(M) <1%
NCP <1%
$170,001 Vol.
$170,001 Vol.

BJP
94%

INC
4%

CPI(M)
<1%

NCP
<1%

AIUDF
<1%

BPF
<1%

AITC
<1%

CPI
<1%

NPEP
<1%

AGP
<1%
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Assam Legislative Assembly election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Assam Legislative Assembly.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Indian government, specifically the Election Commission of India (ECI) (eci.gov.in). If there are multiple reports, this market will resolve based on the one that includes the most Assembly Constituencies (AC).
Mercado abierto: Dec 23, 2025, 3:20 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Assam Legislative Assembly election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Assam Legislative Assembly.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Indian government, specifically the Election Commission of India (ECI) (eci.gov.in). If there are multiple reports, this market will resolve based on the one that includes the most Assembly Constituencies (AC).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Exit polls released after Assam's single-phase assembly elections on April 9, 2026, with record 85.51% voter turnout, project a BJP-led NDA hat-trick victory, forecasting 88-100 seats for the alliance out of 126 amid strong support for Chief Minister Himanta Biswa Sarma's development record and incumbency edge. Pre-election opinion polls from Axis My India, CVoter, and Matrize similarly showed NDA leads of 92-102 seats over fragmented Congress+ alliances at 22-36, reflecting trader consensus on NDA dominance despite opposition pushes in pockets like Barak Valley. Counting on May 4 could confirm this, though rare polling errors or regional surges might narrow margins.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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