Incumbent Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP), led by Chief Minister Himanta Biswa Sarma, commands overwhelming trader consensus at 96.9% implied probability to form the next majority government following the April 9, 2026, single-phase Assam Legislative Assembly election across 126 seats, buoyed by high voter turnout above 75% and a campaign emphasizing development, infrastructure, and border infiltration controls. Multiple exit polls, including Axis My India (88-100 NDA seats), Chanakya (100+), and IANS-Matrize (92-102), project a landslide reinforcing BJP's dominance since 2016, with INC alliance lagging at 22-36 seats amid weak opposition cohesion and last-minute setbacks like resignations. While results await May 4 counting, realistic challenges would require unprecedented vote discrepancies or recounts in key constituencies, though historical poll accuracy in Assam tempers such risks.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoGanador de las elecciones a la Asamblea Legislativa de Assam
Ganador de las elecciones a la Asamblea Legislativa de Assam
BJP 97.0%
INC 2.7%
CPI(M) <1%
NCP <1%
$173,887 Vol.
$173,887 Vol.
20 may 2026
BJP
97%
INC
3%
CPI(M)
<1%
NCP
<1%
AIUDF
<1%
BPF
<1%
AITC
<1%
CPI
<1%
NPEP
<1%
AGP
<1%
BJP 97.0%
INC 2.7%
CPI(M) <1%
NCP <1%
$173,887 Vol.
$173,887 Vol.
20 may 2026
BJP
$39,655 Vol.
97%
INC
$21,826 Vol.
3%
CPI(M)
$14,394 Vol.
<1%
NCP
$12,232 Vol.
<1%
AIUDF
$11,841 Vol.
<1%
BPF
$17,496 Vol.
<1%
AITC
$14,462 Vol.
<1%
CPI
$17,186 Vol.
<1%
NPEP
$12,178 Vol.
<1%
AGP
$12,617 Vol.
<1%
Legislative Assembly elections are to be scheduled to be held in Assam, India, in March–May 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Assam Legislative Assembly election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Assam Legislative Assembly.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Indian government, specifically the Election Commission of India (ECI) (eci.gov.in). If there are multiple reports, this market will resolve based on the one that includes the most Assembly Constituencies (AC).Incumbent Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP), led by Chief Minister Himanta Biswa Sarma, commands overwhelming trader consensus at 96.9% implied probability to form the next majority government following the April 9, 2026, single-phase Assam Legislative Assembly election across 126 seats, buoyed by high voter turnout above 75% and a campaign emphasizing development, infrastructure, and border infiltration controls. Multiple exit polls, including Axis My India (88-100 NDA seats), Chanakya (100+), and IANS-Matrize (92-102), project a landslide reinforcing BJP's dominance since 2016, with INC alliance lagging at 22-36 seats amid weak opposition cohesion and last-minute setbacks like resignations. While results await May 4 counting, realistic challenges would require unprecedented vote discrepancies or recounts in key constituencies, though historical poll accuracy in Assam tempers such risks.
Legislative Assembly elections are to be scheduled to be held in Assam, India, in March–May 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Assam Legislative Assembly election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Assam Legislative Assembly.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Indian government, specifically the Election Commission of India (ECI) (eci.gov.in). If there are multiple reports, this market will resolve based on the one that includes the most Assembly Constituencies (AC).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Assam Legislative Assembly election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Assam Legislative Assembly.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Indian government, specifically the Election Commission of India (ECI) (eci.gov.in). If there are multiple reports, this market will resolve based on the one that includes the most Assembly Constituencies (AC).
Mercado abierto: Dec 23, 2025, 3:20 PM ET
Volumen
$173,887Fecha de finalización
9 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Dec 23, 2025, 3:20 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Legislative Assembly elections are to be scheduled to be held in Assam, India, in March–May 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Assam Legislative Assembly election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Assam Legislative Assembly.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Indian government, specifically the Election Commission of India (ECI) (eci.gov.in). If there are multiple reports, this market will resolve based on the one that includes the most Assembly Constituencies (AC).Incumbent Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP), led by Chief Minister Himanta Biswa Sarma, commands overwhelming trader consensus at 96.9% implied probability to form the next majority government following the April 9, 2026, single-phase Assam Legislative Assembly election across 126 seats, buoyed by high voter turnout above 75% and a campaign emphasizing development, infrastructure, and border infiltration controls. Multiple exit polls, including Axis My India (88-100 NDA seats), Chanakya (100+), and IANS-Matrize (92-102), project a landslide reinforcing BJP's dominance since 2016, with INC alliance lagging at 22-36 seats amid weak opposition cohesion and last-minute setbacks like resignations. While results await May 4 counting, realistic challenges would require unprecedented vote discrepancies or recounts in key constituencies, though historical poll accuracy in Assam tempers such risks.
Legislative Assembly elections are to be scheduled to be held in Assam, India, in March–May 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Assam Legislative Assembly election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Assam Legislative Assembly.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Indian government, specifically the Election Commission of India (ECI) (eci.gov.in). If there are multiple reports, this market will resolve based on the one that includes the most Assembly Constituencies (AC).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Assam Legislative Assembly election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Assam Legislative Assembly.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Indian government, specifically the Election Commission of India (ECI) (eci.gov.in). If there are multiple reports, this market will resolve based on the one that includes the most Assembly Constituencies (AC).
Volumen
$173,887Fecha de finalización
9 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Dec 23, 2025, 3:20 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP), led by Chief Minister Himanta Biswa Sarma, commands overwhelming trader consensus at 96.9% implied probability to form the next majority government following the April 9, 2026, single-phase Assam Legislative Assembly election across 126 seats, buoyed by high voter turnout above 75% and a campaign emphasizing development, infrastructure, and border infiltration controls. Multiple exit polls, including Axis My India (88-100 NDA seats), Chanakya (100+), and IANS-Matrize (92-102), project a landslide reinforcing BJP's dominance since 2016, with INC alliance lagging at 22-36 seats amid weak opposition cohesion and last-minute setbacks like resignations. While results await May 4 counting, realistic challenges would require unprecedented vote discrepancies or recounts in key constituencies, though historical poll accuracy in Assam tempers such risks.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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