Exit polls released in late April, including Axis My India projecting 88-100 seats for BJP-led NDA out of 126 and Chanakya forecasting over 100, have solidified trader consensus on a BJP landslide victory following the April 9 Assam Legislative Assembly election, with results due May 4. Incumbent Chief Minister Himanta Biswa Sarma's popularity, fueled by development initiatives like Orunodoi and post-delimitation seat adjustments favoring BJP strongholds, combined with high voter turnout and fragmented opposition led by INC, underpin the 96.8% implied probability. While NDA hat-trick appears locked, surprises could arise from vote-counting discrepancies, regional upsets in Congress-leaning areas, or independent gains, though historical exit poll accuracy in Assam tempers such risks.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoGanador de las elecciones a la Asamblea Legislativa de Assam
Ganador de las elecciones a la Asamblea Legislativa de Assam
BJP 97.3%
INC 4.0%
CPI(M) <1%
NCP <1%
$173,787 Vol.
$173,787 Vol.
20 may 2026
BJP
97%
INC
4%
CPI(M)
<1%
NCP
<1%
AIUDF
<1%
BPF
<1%
AITC
<1%
CPI
<1%
NPEP
<1%
AGP
<1%
BJP 97.3%
INC 4.0%
CPI(M) <1%
NCP <1%
$173,787 Vol.
$173,787 Vol.
20 may 2026
BJP
$39,655 Vol.
97%
INC
$21,726 Vol.
4%
CPI(M)
$14,394 Vol.
<1%
NCP
$12,232 Vol.
<1%
AIUDF
$11,841 Vol.
<1%
BPF
$17,496 Vol.
<1%
AITC
$14,462 Vol.
<1%
CPI
$17,186 Vol.
<1%
NPEP
$12,178 Vol.
<1%
AGP
$12,617 Vol.
<1%
Legislative Assembly elections are to be scheduled to be held in Assam, India, in March–May 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Assam Legislative Assembly election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Assam Legislative Assembly.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Indian government, specifically the Election Commission of India (ECI) (eci.gov.in). If there are multiple reports, this market will resolve based on the one that includes the most Assembly Constituencies (AC).Exit polls released in late April, including Axis My India projecting 88-100 seats for BJP-led NDA out of 126 and Chanakya forecasting over 100, have solidified trader consensus on a BJP landslide victory following the April 9 Assam Legislative Assembly election, with results due May 4. Incumbent Chief Minister Himanta Biswa Sarma's popularity, fueled by development initiatives like Orunodoi and post-delimitation seat adjustments favoring BJP strongholds, combined with high voter turnout and fragmented opposition led by INC, underpin the 96.8% implied probability. While NDA hat-trick appears locked, surprises could arise from vote-counting discrepancies, regional upsets in Congress-leaning areas, or independent gains, though historical exit poll accuracy in Assam tempers such risks.
Legislative Assembly elections are to be scheduled to be held in Assam, India, in March–May 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Assam Legislative Assembly election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Assam Legislative Assembly.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Indian government, specifically the Election Commission of India (ECI) (eci.gov.in). If there are multiple reports, this market will resolve based on the one that includes the most Assembly Constituencies (AC).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Assam Legislative Assembly election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Assam Legislative Assembly.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Indian government, specifically the Election Commission of India (ECI) (eci.gov.in). If there are multiple reports, this market will resolve based on the one that includes the most Assembly Constituencies (AC).
Mercado abierto: Dec 23, 2025, 3:20 PM ET
Volumen
$173,787Fecha de finalización
9 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Dec 23, 2025, 3:20 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Legislative Assembly elections are to be scheduled to be held in Assam, India, in March–May 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Assam Legislative Assembly election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Assam Legislative Assembly.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Indian government, specifically the Election Commission of India (ECI) (eci.gov.in). If there are multiple reports, this market will resolve based on the one that includes the most Assembly Constituencies (AC).Exit polls released in late April, including Axis My India projecting 88-100 seats for BJP-led NDA out of 126 and Chanakya forecasting over 100, have solidified trader consensus on a BJP landslide victory following the April 9 Assam Legislative Assembly election, with results due May 4. Incumbent Chief Minister Himanta Biswa Sarma's popularity, fueled by development initiatives like Orunodoi and post-delimitation seat adjustments favoring BJP strongholds, combined with high voter turnout and fragmented opposition led by INC, underpin the 96.8% implied probability. While NDA hat-trick appears locked, surprises could arise from vote-counting discrepancies, regional upsets in Congress-leaning areas, or independent gains, though historical exit poll accuracy in Assam tempers such risks.
Legislative Assembly elections are to be scheduled to be held in Assam, India, in March–May 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Assam Legislative Assembly election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Assam Legislative Assembly.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Indian government, specifically the Election Commission of India (ECI) (eci.gov.in). If there are multiple reports, this market will resolve based on the one that includes the most Assembly Constituencies (AC).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Assam Legislative Assembly election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Assam Legislative Assembly.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Indian government, specifically the Election Commission of India (ECI) (eci.gov.in). If there are multiple reports, this market will resolve based on the one that includes the most Assembly Constituencies (AC).
Volumen
$173,787Fecha de finalización
9 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Dec 23, 2025, 3:20 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Exit polls released in late April, including Axis My India projecting 88-100 seats for BJP-led NDA out of 126 and Chanakya forecasting over 100, have solidified trader consensus on a BJP landslide victory following the April 9 Assam Legislative Assembly election, with results due May 4. Incumbent Chief Minister Himanta Biswa Sarma's popularity, fueled by development initiatives like Orunodoi and post-delimitation seat adjustments favoring BJP strongholds, combined with high voter turnout and fragmented opposition led by INC, underpin the 96.8% implied probability. While NDA hat-trick appears locked, surprises could arise from vote-counting discrepancies, regional upsets in Congress-leaning areas, or independent gains, though historical exit poll accuracy in Assam tempers such risks.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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