Exit polls released in the last 48 hours following Assam's single-phase Legislative Assembly election on April 9 project a landslide for the incumbent BJP-led NDA alliance, with projections of 80–102 seats out of 126 from pollsters like Axis My India and Today's Chanakya, far exceeding the 64-seat majority threshold. High voter turnout above 85% and pre-poll surveys reinforced Chief Minister Himanta Biswa Sarma's strong position amid a development-focused campaign, bolstered by allies AGP and BPF, while Congress-led opposition struggled to consolidate. Trader consensus at 97.5% for BJP reflects this overwhelming implied probability, though results on May 4 could shift via counting discrepancies, legal challenges, or unforeseen post-poll dynamics.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoGanador de las elecciones a la Asamblea Legislativa de Assam
Ganador de las elecciones a la Asamblea Legislativa de Assam
BJP 97.5%
INC 2.9%
CPI(M) <1%
NCP <1%
$177,585 Vol.
$177,585 Vol.
20 may 2026
BJP
98%
INC
3%
CPI(M)
<1%
NCP
<1%
AIUDF
<1%
BPF
<1%
AITC
<1%
CPI
<1%
NPEP
<1%
AGP
<1%
BJP 97.5%
INC 2.9%
CPI(M) <1%
NCP <1%
$177,585 Vol.
$177,585 Vol.
20 may 2026
BJP
$40,581 Vol.
98%
INC
$24,593 Vol.
3%
CPI(M)
$14,394 Vol.
<1%
NCP
$12,232 Vol.
<1%
AIUDF
$11,846 Vol.
<1%
BPF
$17,496 Vol.
<1%
AITC
$14,462 Vol.
<1%
CPI
$17,186 Vol.
<1%
NPEP
$12,178 Vol.
<1%
AGP
$12,617 Vol.
<1%
Legislative Assembly elections are to be scheduled to be held in Assam, India, in March–May 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Assam Legislative Assembly election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Assam Legislative Assembly.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Indian government, specifically the Election Commission of India (ECI) (eci.gov.in). If there are multiple reports, this market will resolve based on the one that includes the most Assembly Constituencies (AC).Exit polls released in the last 48 hours following Assam's single-phase Legislative Assembly election on April 9 project a landslide for the incumbent BJP-led NDA alliance, with projections of 80–102 seats out of 126 from pollsters like Axis My India and Today's Chanakya, far exceeding the 64-seat majority threshold. High voter turnout above 85% and pre-poll surveys reinforced Chief Minister Himanta Biswa Sarma's strong position amid a development-focused campaign, bolstered by allies AGP and BPF, while Congress-led opposition struggled to consolidate. Trader consensus at 97.5% for BJP reflects this overwhelming implied probability, though results on May 4 could shift via counting discrepancies, legal challenges, or unforeseen post-poll dynamics.
Legislative Assembly elections are to be scheduled to be held in Assam, India, in March–May 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Assam Legislative Assembly election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Assam Legislative Assembly.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Indian government, specifically the Election Commission of India (ECI) (eci.gov.in). If there are multiple reports, this market will resolve based on the one that includes the most Assembly Constituencies (AC).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Assam Legislative Assembly election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Assam Legislative Assembly.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Indian government, specifically the Election Commission of India (ECI) (eci.gov.in). If there are multiple reports, this market will resolve based on the one that includes the most Assembly Constituencies (AC).
Mercado abierto: Dec 23, 2025, 3:20 PM ET
Volumen
$177,585Fecha de finalización
9 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Dec 23, 2025, 3:20 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Legislative Assembly elections are to be scheduled to be held in Assam, India, in March–May 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Assam Legislative Assembly election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Assam Legislative Assembly.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Indian government, specifically the Election Commission of India (ECI) (eci.gov.in). If there are multiple reports, this market will resolve based on the one that includes the most Assembly Constituencies (AC).Exit polls released in the last 48 hours following Assam's single-phase Legislative Assembly election on April 9 project a landslide for the incumbent BJP-led NDA alliance, with projections of 80–102 seats out of 126 from pollsters like Axis My India and Today's Chanakya, far exceeding the 64-seat majority threshold. High voter turnout above 85% and pre-poll surveys reinforced Chief Minister Himanta Biswa Sarma's strong position amid a development-focused campaign, bolstered by allies AGP and BPF, while Congress-led opposition struggled to consolidate. Trader consensus at 97.5% for BJP reflects this overwhelming implied probability, though results on May 4 could shift via counting discrepancies, legal challenges, or unforeseen post-poll dynamics.
Legislative Assembly elections are to be scheduled to be held in Assam, India, in March–May 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Assam Legislative Assembly election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Assam Legislative Assembly.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Indian government, specifically the Election Commission of India (ECI) (eci.gov.in). If there are multiple reports, this market will resolve based on the one that includes the most Assembly Constituencies (AC).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Assam Legislative Assembly election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Assam Legislative Assembly.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Indian government, specifically the Election Commission of India (ECI) (eci.gov.in). If there are multiple reports, this market will resolve based on the one that includes the most Assembly Constituencies (AC).
Volumen
$177,585Fecha de finalización
9 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Dec 23, 2025, 3:20 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Exit polls released in the last 48 hours following Assam's single-phase Legislative Assembly election on April 9 project a landslide for the incumbent BJP-led NDA alliance, with projections of 80–102 seats out of 126 from pollsters like Axis My India and Today's Chanakya, far exceeding the 64-seat majority threshold. High voter turnout above 85% and pre-poll surveys reinforced Chief Minister Himanta Biswa Sarma's strong position amid a development-focused campaign, bolstered by allies AGP and BPF, while Congress-led opposition struggled to consolidate. Trader consensus at 97.5% for BJP reflects this overwhelming implied probability, though results on May 4 could shift via counting discrepancies, legal challenges, or unforeseen post-poll dynamics.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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