Incumbent Democratic Gov. Katie Hobbs leads trader consensus at 78% implied probability for re-election, driven by recent polling showing her ahead of Republican primary frontrunner Rep. Andy Biggs by double digits—48% to 38% among likely voters in the late-April TIPP Insights survey. Hobbs maintains a +5 approval rating amid Democratic voter registration gains in battleground Maricopa and Pima counties, bolstering her incumbency advantage in this purple state where she won narrowly in 2022. Biggs commands 52% in GOP primary polls but faces general election hurdles as a Trump-aligned figure. Upcoming August primaries and November general could shift dynamics with national trends or scandals.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoGanador de la elección de gobernador de Arizona
Ganador de la elección de gobernador de Arizona
$41,745 Vol.
$41,745 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Demócrata
78%
Republicano
23%
$41,745 Vol.
$41,745 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Demócrata
$22,158 Vol.
78%
Republicano
$19,587 Vol.
23%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Arizona gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Democratic Gov. Katie Hobbs leads trader consensus at 78% implied probability for re-election, driven by recent polling showing her ahead of Republican primary frontrunner Rep. Andy Biggs by double digits—48% to 38% among likely voters in the late-April TIPP Insights survey. Hobbs maintains a +5 approval rating amid Democratic voter registration gains in battleground Maricopa and Pima counties, bolstering her incumbency advantage in this purple state where she won narrowly in 2022. Biggs commands 52% in GOP primary polls but faces general election hurdles as a Trump-aligned figure. Upcoming August primaries and November general could shift dynamics with national trends or scandals.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Arizona gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Mercado abierto: Oct 13, 2025, 6:38 PM ET
Volumen
$41,745Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Oct 13, 2025, 6:38 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Arizona gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Democratic Gov. Katie Hobbs leads trader consensus at 78% implied probability for re-election, driven by recent polling showing her ahead of Republican primary frontrunner Rep. Andy Biggs by double digits—48% to 38% among likely voters in the late-April TIPP Insights survey. Hobbs maintains a +5 approval rating amid Democratic voter registration gains in battleground Maricopa and Pima counties, bolstering her incumbency advantage in this purple state where she won narrowly in 2022. Biggs commands 52% in GOP primary polls but faces general election hurdles as a Trump-aligned figure. Upcoming August primaries and November general could shift dynamics with national trends or scandals.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Arizona gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Volumen
$41,745Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Oct 13, 2025, 6:38 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democratic Gov. Katie Hobbs leads trader consensus at 78% implied probability for re-election, driven by recent polling showing her ahead of Republican primary frontrunner Rep. Andy Biggs by double digits—48% to 38% among likely voters in the late-April TIPP Insights survey. Hobbs maintains a +5 approval rating amid Democratic voter registration gains in battleground Maricopa and Pima counties, bolstering her incumbency advantage in this purple state where she won narrowly in 2022. Biggs commands 52% in GOP primary polls but faces general election hurdles as a Trump-aligned figure. Upcoming August primaries and November general could shift dynamics with national trends or scandals.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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