The most recent magnitude 7.0+ earthquake, a 7.4 event off Japan's Sanriku coast along the Japan Trench on April 20, 2026, anchors current trader sentiment, following a 7.4 quake in Indonesia's Molucca Sea on April 1; USGS data shows no M7+ events worldwide in the subsequent 10 days amid typical seismic quiet periods. Globally, the U.S. Geological Survey records 15–20 such quakes annually, concentrated on plate boundaries like the Pacific Ring of Fire, with 2026 already featuring at least four by late April—above average early-year pace. Earthquakes remain fundamentally unpredictable due to complex fault dynamics and stress accumulation, lacking short-term forecasts; traders monitor USGS real-time catalogs for confirmed moment magnitudes ≥7.0 anywhere, with daily updates and potential aftershock sequences as key data points ahead of resolution deadlines.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Otro terremoto de 7.0 o más por...?
¿Otro terremoto de 7.0 o más por...?
$17,592 Vol.
31 may 2026
30 de abril
2%
15 de mayo
51%
30 de mayo
74%
$17,592 Vol.
30 de abril
$11,453 Vol.
2%
15 de mayo
$1,428 Vol.
51%
30 de mayo
$4,711 Vol.
74%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if one or more earthquakes with a magnitude of 7.0 or higher occur anywhere on Earth between market creation and the listed date ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/browse/significant.php#sigdef).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until the end of the month following resolution time or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
After a qualifying earthquake is registered, this market will remain open for 24 hours to account for any revisions to its recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.The most recent magnitude 7.0+ earthquake, a 7.4 event off Japan's Sanriku coast along the Japan Trench on April 20, 2026, anchors current trader sentiment, following a 7.4 quake in Indonesia's Molucca Sea on April 1; USGS data shows no M7+ events worldwide in the subsequent 10 days amid typical seismic quiet periods. Globally, the U.S. Geological Survey records 15–20 such quakes annually, concentrated on plate boundaries like the Pacific Ring of Fire, with 2026 already featuring at least four by late April—above average early-year pace. Earthquakes remain fundamentally unpredictable due to complex fault dynamics and stress accumulation, lacking short-term forecasts; traders monitor USGS real-time catalogs for confirmed moment magnitudes ≥7.0 anywhere, with daily updates and potential aftershock sequences as key data points ahead of resolution deadlines.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if one or more earthquakes with a magnitude of 7.0 or higher occur anywhere on Earth between market creation and the listed date ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/browse/significant.php#sigdef).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until the end of the month following resolution time or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
After a qualifying earthquake is registered, this market will remain open for 24 hours to account for any revisions to its recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/browse/significant.php#sigdef).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until the end of the month following resolution time or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
After a qualifying earthquake is registered, this market will remain open for 24 hours to account for any revisions to its recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.
Mercado abierto: Apr 21, 2026, 10:35 AM ET
Volumen
$17,592Fecha de finalización
31 may 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 21, 2026, 10:35 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if one or more earthquakes with a magnitude of 7.0 or higher occur anywhere on Earth between market creation and the listed date ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/browse/significant.php#sigdef).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until the end of the month following resolution time or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
After a qualifying earthquake is registered, this market will remain open for 24 hours to account for any revisions to its recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.The most recent magnitude 7.0+ earthquake, a 7.4 event off Japan's Sanriku coast along the Japan Trench on April 20, 2026, anchors current trader sentiment, following a 7.4 quake in Indonesia's Molucca Sea on April 1; USGS data shows no M7+ events worldwide in the subsequent 10 days amid typical seismic quiet periods. Globally, the U.S. Geological Survey records 15–20 such quakes annually, concentrated on plate boundaries like the Pacific Ring of Fire, with 2026 already featuring at least four by late April—above average early-year pace. Earthquakes remain fundamentally unpredictable due to complex fault dynamics and stress accumulation, lacking short-term forecasts; traders monitor USGS real-time catalogs for confirmed moment magnitudes ≥7.0 anywhere, with daily updates and potential aftershock sequences as key data points ahead of resolution deadlines.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if one or more earthquakes with a magnitude of 7.0 or higher occur anywhere on Earth between market creation and the listed date ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/browse/significant.php#sigdef).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until the end of the month following resolution time or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
After a qualifying earthquake is registered, this market will remain open for 24 hours to account for any revisions to its recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/browse/significant.php#sigdef).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until the end of the month following resolution time or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
After a qualifying earthquake is registered, this market will remain open for 24 hours to account for any revisions to its recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.
Volumen
$17,592Fecha de finalización
31 may 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 21, 2026, 10:35 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The most recent magnitude 7.0+ earthquake, a 7.4 event off Japan's Sanriku coast along the Japan Trench on April 20, 2026, anchors current trader sentiment, following a 7.4 quake in Indonesia's Molucca Sea on April 1; USGS data shows no M7+ events worldwide in the subsequent 10 days amid typical seismic quiet periods. Globally, the U.S. Geological Survey records 15–20 such quakes annually, concentrated on plate boundaries like the Pacific Ring of Fire, with 2026 already featuring at least four by late April—above average early-year pace. Earthquakes remain fundamentally unpredictable due to complex fault dynamics and stress accumulation, lacking short-term forecasts; traders monitor USGS real-time catalogs for confirmed moment magnitudes ≥7.0 anywhere, with daily updates and potential aftershock sequences as key data points ahead of resolution deadlines.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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