Recent polls for Andalusia's May 17 regional election project VOX at 14-18 seats in the 109-seat Parliament under proportional representation, positioning the 13-15 bracket as trader consensus at 39.5% amid a PP surge toward absolute majority. Late April surveys—ElectoPanel (16 seats), Target Point (17-18), Sigma Dos (14-16)—reflect this range, with 19-21 at 29% capturing upside potential. Key driver: 20% of 2022 VOX voters shifting to incumbent Juanma Moreno's PP for standalone governance, per Target Point, capping VOX growth despite Manuel Gavira's immigration-focused campaign critiques of PP. PSOE's decline to 26-28 seats stabilizes right-wing dynamics; no major developments in past 48 hours, but turnout could tip balances in battleground provinces.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoAndalusia Regional Election: VOX # of Seats
Andalusia Regional Election: VOX # of Seats
13-15 41%
19-21 28%
<13 18.3%
22+ 18.0%
NUEVO
NUEVO
17 may 2026
<13
18%
13-15
41%
16-18
16%
19-21
28%
22+
14%
13-15 41%
19-21 28%
<13 18.3%
22+ 18.0%
NUEVO
NUEVO
17 may 2026
<13
$95 Vol.
18%
13-15
$130 Vol.
41%
16-18
$119 Vol.
16%
19-21
$541 Vol.
28%
22+
$166 Vol.
14%
Elections for the autonomous community of Andalusia’s unicameral parliament are scheduled for May 17, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by VOX (VOX) in the Parliament of Andalusia as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by VOX (VOX) in this election.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published by the Spanish Junta Electoral Central (JEC) (https://www.juntaelectoralcentral.es/cs/jec/inicio).Recent polls for Andalusia's May 17 regional election project VOX at 14-18 seats in the 109-seat Parliament under proportional representation, positioning the 13-15 bracket as trader consensus at 39.5% amid a PP surge toward absolute majority. Late April surveys—ElectoPanel (16 seats), Target Point (17-18), Sigma Dos (14-16)—reflect this range, with 19-21 at 29% capturing upside potential. Key driver: 20% of 2022 VOX voters shifting to incumbent Juanma Moreno's PP for standalone governance, per Target Point, capping VOX growth despite Manuel Gavira's immigration-focused campaign critiques of PP. PSOE's decline to 26-28 seats stabilizes right-wing dynamics; no major developments in past 48 hours, but turnout could tip balances in battleground provinces.
Elections for the autonomous community of Andalusia’s unicameral parliament are scheduled for May 17, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by VOX (VOX) in the Parliament of Andalusia as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by VOX (VOX) in this election.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published by the Spanish Junta Electoral Central (JEC) (https://www.juntaelectoralcentral.es/cs/jec/inicio).
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by VOX (VOX) in the Parliament of Andalusia as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by VOX (VOX) in this election.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published by the Spanish Junta Electoral Central (JEC) (https://www.juntaelectoralcentral.es/cs/jec/inicio).
Mercado abierto: Apr 16, 2026, 7:41 PM ET
Volumen
$1,052Fecha de finalización
17 may 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 16, 2026, 7:41 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Elections for the autonomous community of Andalusia’s unicameral parliament are scheduled for May 17, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by VOX (VOX) in the Parliament of Andalusia as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by VOX (VOX) in this election.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published by the Spanish Junta Electoral Central (JEC) (https://www.juntaelectoralcentral.es/cs/jec/inicio).Recent polls for Andalusia's May 17 regional election project VOX at 14-18 seats in the 109-seat Parliament under proportional representation, positioning the 13-15 bracket as trader consensus at 39.5% amid a PP surge toward absolute majority. Late April surveys—ElectoPanel (16 seats), Target Point (17-18), Sigma Dos (14-16)—reflect this range, with 19-21 at 29% capturing upside potential. Key driver: 20% of 2022 VOX voters shifting to incumbent Juanma Moreno's PP for standalone governance, per Target Point, capping VOX growth despite Manuel Gavira's immigration-focused campaign critiques of PP. PSOE's decline to 26-28 seats stabilizes right-wing dynamics; no major developments in past 48 hours, but turnout could tip balances in battleground provinces.
Elections for the autonomous community of Andalusia’s unicameral parliament are scheduled for May 17, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by VOX (VOX) in the Parliament of Andalusia as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by VOX (VOX) in this election.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published by the Spanish Junta Electoral Central (JEC) (https://www.juntaelectoralcentral.es/cs/jec/inicio).
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by VOX (VOX) in the Parliament of Andalusia as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by VOX (VOX) in this election.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published by the Spanish Junta Electoral Central (JEC) (https://www.juntaelectoralcentral.es/cs/jec/inicio).
Volumen
$1,052Fecha de finalización
17 may 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 16, 2026, 7:41 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polls for Andalusia's May 17 regional election project VOX at 14-18 seats in the 109-seat Parliament under proportional representation, positioning the 13-15 bracket as trader consensus at 39.5% amid a PP surge toward absolute majority. Late April surveys—ElectoPanel (16 seats), Target Point (17-18), Sigma Dos (14-16)—reflect this range, with 19-21 at 29% capturing upside potential. Key driver: 20% of 2022 VOX voters shifting to incumbent Juanma Moreno's PP for standalone governance, per Target Point, capping VOX growth despite Manuel Gavira's immigration-focused campaign critiques of PP. PSOE's decline to 26-28 seats stabilizes right-wing dynamics; no major developments in past 48 hours, but turnout could tip balances in battleground provinces.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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