In Alabama's open U.S. Senate Republican primary on May 19—triggered by Sen. Tommy Tuberville's gubernatorial bid—trader consensus heavily favors Rep. Barry Moore at 81% implied probability, driven by his early Trump endorsement, Club for Growth backing, and strong fundraising rivaling newcomer Jared Hudson's. Recent polling averages, including Decision Desk HQ's April 29 update showing Moore at 31%, Marshall at 19%, and Hudson at 16%, reflect his momentum amid a tight three-way contest where no candidate yet clears 50% for outright victory, potentially leading to a June 16 runoff. Alabama AG Steve Marshall has faded amid attack ads and internal PAC polls, while Hudson appeals as a Navy SEAL outsider; late consolidations or turnout in rural Wiregrass areas could tip the balance.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoBarry Moore 81%
Jared Hudson 15.8%
Steve Marshall 5.2%
Morgan Murphy <1%
$67,390 Vol.
$67,390 Vol.
Barry Moore
81%
Jared Hudson
16%
Steve Marshall
5%
Morgan Murphy
<1%
Rodney Walker
<1%
Barry Moore 81%
Jared Hudson 15.8%
Steve Marshall 5.2%
Morgan Murphy <1%
$67,390 Vol.
$67,390 Vol.
Barry Moore
81%
Jared Hudson
16%
Steve Marshall
5%
Morgan Murphy
<1%
Rodney Walker
<1%
If no 2026 Alabama Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Alabama Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Mercado abierto: Nov 13, 2025, 1:49 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no 2026 Alabama Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Alabama Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...In Alabama's open U.S. Senate Republican primary on May 19—triggered by Sen. Tommy Tuberville's gubernatorial bid—trader consensus heavily favors Rep. Barry Moore at 81% implied probability, driven by his early Trump endorsement, Club for Growth backing, and strong fundraising rivaling newcomer Jared Hudson's. Recent polling averages, including Decision Desk HQ's April 29 update showing Moore at 31%, Marshall at 19%, and Hudson at 16%, reflect his momentum amid a tight three-way contest where no candidate yet clears 50% for outright victory, potentially leading to a June 16 runoff. Alabama AG Steve Marshall has faded amid attack ads and internal PAC polls, while Hudson appeals as a Navy SEAL outsider; late consolidations or turnout in rural Wiregrass areas could tip the balance.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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