U.S. Sen. Tommy Tuberville commands overwhelming trader consensus at 98.8% implied probability to win Alabama's Republican gubernatorial primary on May 19, driven by a dominant April 30 poll showing him at 63% against Ken McFeeters' 4% among likely voters. His statewide name recognition from the 2020 Senate victory, consistent polling leads since announcing in May 2025, key endorsements like the Business Council, and an open seat vacated by term-limited Gov. Kay Ivey solidify his frontrunner status in this low-competition field including minor challengers Will Santivasci and McFeeters. While late scandals, health issues, or unexpected turnout shifts could theoretically challenge this, historical base rates for such heavily favored incumbency-like candidates suggest minimal risk before resolution post-primary vote count.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado$29,771 Vol.
$29,771 Vol.
19 may 2026
Tommy Tuberville
99%
Ken McFeeters
1%
$29,771 Vol.
$29,771 Vol.
19 may 2026
Tommy Tuberville
$19,140 Vol.
99%
Ken McFeeters
$10,631 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Alabama, scheduled to take place on May 19, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.
If no 2026 Alabama Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Alabama Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.U.S. Sen. Tommy Tuberville commands overwhelming trader consensus at 98.8% implied probability to win Alabama's Republican gubernatorial primary on May 19, driven by a dominant April 30 poll showing him at 63% against Ken McFeeters' 4% among likely voters. His statewide name recognition from the 2020 Senate victory, consistent polling leads since announcing in May 2025, key endorsements like the Business Council, and an open seat vacated by term-limited Gov. Kay Ivey solidify his frontrunner status in this low-competition field including minor challengers Will Santivasci and McFeeters. While late scandals, health issues, or unexpected turnout shifts could theoretically challenge this, historical base rates for such heavily favored incumbency-like candidates suggest minimal risk before resolution post-primary vote count.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Alabama, scheduled to take place on May 19, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.
If no 2026 Alabama Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Alabama Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If no 2026 Alabama Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Alabama Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Mercado abierto: Dec 4, 2025, 5:41 PM ET
Volumen
$29,771Fecha de finalización
19 may 2026Mercado abierto
Dec 4, 2025, 5:41 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Alabama, scheduled to take place on May 19, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.
If no 2026 Alabama Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Alabama Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.U.S. Sen. Tommy Tuberville commands overwhelming trader consensus at 98.8% implied probability to win Alabama's Republican gubernatorial primary on May 19, driven by a dominant April 30 poll showing him at 63% against Ken McFeeters' 4% among likely voters. His statewide name recognition from the 2020 Senate victory, consistent polling leads since announcing in May 2025, key endorsements like the Business Council, and an open seat vacated by term-limited Gov. Kay Ivey solidify his frontrunner status in this low-competition field including minor challengers Will Santivasci and McFeeters. While late scandals, health issues, or unexpected turnout shifts could theoretically challenge this, historical base rates for such heavily favored incumbency-like candidates suggest minimal risk before resolution post-primary vote count.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Alabama, scheduled to take place on May 19, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.
If no 2026 Alabama Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Alabama Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If no 2026 Alabama Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Alabama Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Volumen
$29,771Fecha de finalización
19 may 2026Mercado abierto
Dec 4, 2025, 5:41 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...U.S. Sen. Tommy Tuberville commands overwhelming trader consensus at 98.8% implied probability to win Alabama's Republican gubernatorial primary on May 19, driven by a dominant April 30 poll showing him at 63% against Ken McFeeters' 4% among likely voters. His statewide name recognition from the 2020 Senate victory, consistent polling leads since announcing in May 2025, key endorsements like the Business Council, and an open seat vacated by term-limited Gov. Kay Ivey solidify his frontrunner status in this low-competition field including minor challengers Will Santivasci and McFeeters. While late scandals, health issues, or unexpected turnout shifts could theoretically challenge this, historical base rates for such heavily favored incumbency-like candidates suggest minimal risk before resolution post-primary vote count.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes