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Política·Corea Del Sur

Ganador de las elecciones a la alcaldía de Busan 2026

icon for Ganador de las elecciones a la alcaldía de Busan 2026
Política·Corea Del Sur

Ganador de las elecciones a la alcaldía de Busan 2026

Chun Jae-soo 66%

Park Heong-joon 33%

Suh Byung-soo <1%

Cho Kyoung-tae <1%

Polymarket

$575,807 Vol.

Chun Jae-soo 66%

Park Heong-joon 33%

Suh Byung-soo <1%

Cho Kyoung-tae <1%

Polymarket

$575,807 Vol.

icon for Chun Jae-soo

Chun Jae-soo

$51,086 Vol.

66%

icon for Park Heong-joon

Park Heong-joon

$34,097 Vol.

33%

icon for Suh Byung-soo

Suh Byung-soo

$136,030 Vol.

<1%

icon for Cho Kyoung-tae

Cho Kyoung-tae

$20,225 Vol.

<1%

icon for Choi In-ho

Choi In-ho

$51,510 Vol.

<1%

icon for Hong Soon-heon

Hong Soon-heon

$17,620 Vol.

<1%

icon for Park Seong-hoon

Park Seong-hoon

$18,832 Vol.

<1%

icon for Kim Do-eup

Kim Do-eup

$29,552 Vol.

<1%

icon for Park Jae-ho

Park Jae-ho

$20,463 Vol.

<1%

icon for Lee Jae-sung

Lee Jae-sung

$20,185 Vol.

<1%

icon for Kim Young-choon

Kim Young-choon

$25,076 Vol.

<1%

icon for Cho Kuk

Cho Kuk

$151,131 Vol.

<1%

The 2026 Busan mayoral election is scheduled to take place on June 3, 2026 to elect the next mayor of Busan. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate that wins this election. If the result of this election isn't known by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission.Recent opinion polls, including MBC-KoreaResearch (Jeon Jae-soo 48%, Park Heong-joon 34%) and KBS-HankookResearch (42% vs. 32%), show Democratic Party of Korea challenger Chun Jae-soo maintaining a lead over incumbent People Power Party Mayor Park Heong-joon by 6-14 points outside typical margins of error, with undecided voters at around 20%, fueling trader consensus pricing Chun at 66% implied probability for the June 3 local election. Primaries concluded in mid-April, with Park securing his party's nomination on April 11 and both candidates registering preliminaries by April 27-30 amid pledges for youth assets, maritime capital development, and administrative continuity. Despite Busan's conservative Yeongnam base favoring incumbents historically, high ruling party approval and desire for change have boosted Chun, though conservative unity efforts and narrowing gaps in some surveys keep the race competitive.

The 2026 Busan mayoral election is scheduled to take place on June 3, 2026 to elect the next mayor of Busan.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate that wins this election.

If the result of this election isn't known by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission.
Volumen
$575,807
Fecha de finalización
3 jun 2026
Mercado abierto
Nov 12, 2025, 7:03 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
The 2026 Busan mayoral election is scheduled to take place on June 3, 2026 to elect the next mayor of Busan. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate that wins this election. If the result of this election isn't known by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission.
The 2026 Busan mayoral election is scheduled to take place on June 3, 2026 to elect the next mayor of Busan. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate that wins this election. If the result of this election isn't known by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission.Recent opinion polls, including MBC-KoreaResearch (Jeon Jae-soo 48%, Park Heong-joon 34%) and KBS-HankookResearch (42% vs. 32%), show Democratic Party of Korea challenger Chun Jae-soo maintaining a lead over incumbent People Power Party Mayor Park Heong-joon by 6-14 points outside typical margins of error, with undecided voters at around 20%, fueling trader consensus pricing Chun at 66% implied probability for the June 3 local election. Primaries concluded in mid-April, with Park securing his party's nomination on April 11 and both candidates registering preliminaries by April 27-30 amid pledges for youth assets, maritime capital development, and administrative continuity. Despite Busan's conservative Yeongnam base favoring incumbents historically, high ruling party approval and desire for change have boosted Chun, though conservative unity efforts and narrowing gaps in some surveys keep the race competitive.

The 2026 Busan mayoral election is scheduled to take place on June 3, 2026 to elect the next mayor of Busan.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate that wins this election.

If the result of this election isn't known by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission.
Volumen
$575,807
Fecha de finalización
3 jun 2026
Mercado abierto
Nov 12, 2025, 7:03 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
The 2026 Busan mayoral election is scheduled to take place on June 3, 2026 to elect the next mayor of Busan. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate that wins this election. If the result of this election isn't known by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission.

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"Ganador de las elecciones a la alcaldía de Busan 2026" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 12 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "Chun Jae-soo" con 66%, seguido de "Park Heong-joon" con 33%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 66¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 66% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "Ganador de las elecciones a la alcaldía de Busan 2026" ha generado $575.8K en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Nov 13, 2025. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "Ganador de las elecciones a la alcaldía de Busan 2026", explora los 12 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "Ganador de las elecciones a la alcaldía de Busan 2026" es "Chun Jae-soo" con 66%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 66% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "Park Heong-joon" con 33%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "Ganador de las elecciones a la alcaldía de Busan 2026" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.