Preliminary results from Bolivia's March 22 subnational elections first round and April 19 runoffs for governors across nine departments reveal a fragmented outcome, with no single party securing a clear plurality and driving razor-thin Polymarket odds: Unity Bloc (UNIDAD) at 49.7%, Christian Democratic Party (PDC) at 49.5%, and Libre – Liberty and Democracy (LIBRE) at 49.0% for most gubernatorial wins. TSE quick counts show LIBRE prevailing in Santa Cruz (Juan Pablo Velasco, 57%) and Pando (Gabriela de Paiva), PDC-linked Camino Democrático in Tarija (María René Soruco, 71%), and UNIDAD-aligned coalitions potentially claiming Beni (Jesús Egüez) and La Paz (Luis Revilla), while others like Gente Nueva in Chuquisaca split the rest. Traders await official OEP certification and party attributions for multi-alliance candidacies, as coalition ambiguities and any challenges could shift the plurality; historical subnational fragmentation underscores the tight race absent a dominant force.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado2026 Elecciones para gobernador de Bolivia: Ganador del partido
2026 Elecciones para gobernador de Bolivia: Ganador del partido
Libre – Libertad y Democracia (LIBRE) 0
Partido Demócrata Cristiano (PDC) 0
Bloque Unidad (UNIDAD) 0
$1,602 Vol.
$1,602 Vol.

Libre – Libertad y Democracia (LIBRE)
-

Partido Demócrata Cristiano (PDC)
47%

Bloque Unidad (UNIDAD)
49%
Libre – Libertad y Democracia (LIBRE) 0
Partido Demócrata Cristiano (PDC) 0
Bloque Unidad (UNIDAD) 0
$1,602 Vol.
$1,602 Vol.

Libre – Libertad y Democracia (LIBRE)
-

Partido Demócrata Cristiano (PDC)
47%

Bloque Unidad (UNIDAD)
49%
This market will resolve according to the party whose official candidates win the most gubernatorial elections for Bolivia’s departments during these elections.
A candidate will be considered an official candidate of a party if they are officially nominated by that party and are registered for the relevant election in affiliation with that party. Independent candidates will not count for any party.
Bolivia’s departments include the following:
La Paz, Santa Cruz, Cochabamba, Oruro, Potosí, Tarija, Beni, Pando, and Chuquisaca.
A party will have won as soon as it becomes mathematically impossible for any other party to equal or surpass its number of wins in these elections.
In the case of a tie between two or more parties for the greatest number of gubernatorial elections won, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed name (not abbreviation) comes first in alphabetical order.
This market includes any potential second round. Resolution of this market will be based on the results of the relevant elections, once those results are official. This market will remain open until a party has won or until the results of all of the relevant elections are made official. If the results of any of the relevant 2026 Bolivian gubernatorial elections aren’t known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the winning party will be determined based on the available results up to that point. If none of the results of the relevant 2026 Bolivian gubernatorial elections are known by that time, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bolivian electoral authority, the Tribunal Supremo Electoral (TSE) (https://www.oep.org.bo).
Mercado abierto: Jan 6, 2026, 5:25 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party whose official candidates win the most gubernatorial elections for Bolivia’s departments during these elections.
A candidate will be considered an official candidate of a party if they are officially nominated by that party and are registered for the relevant election in affiliation with that party. Independent candidates will not count for any party.
Bolivia’s departments include the following:
La Paz, Santa Cruz, Cochabamba, Oruro, Potosí, Tarija, Beni, Pando, and Chuquisaca.
A party will have won as soon as it becomes mathematically impossible for any other party to equal or surpass its number of wins in these elections.
In the case of a tie between two or more parties for the greatest number of gubernatorial elections won, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed name (not abbreviation) comes first in alphabetical order.
This market includes any potential second round. Resolution of this market will be based on the results of the relevant elections, once those results are official. This market will remain open until a party has won or until the results of all of the relevant elections are made official. If the results of any of the relevant 2026 Bolivian gubernatorial elections aren’t known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the winning party will be determined based on the available results up to that point. If none of the results of the relevant 2026 Bolivian gubernatorial elections are known by that time, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bolivian electoral authority, the Tribunal Supremo Electoral (TSE) (https://www.oep.org.bo).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Preliminary results from Bolivia's March 22 subnational elections first round and April 19 runoffs for governors across nine departments reveal a fragmented outcome, with no single party securing a clear plurality and driving razor-thin Polymarket odds: Unity Bloc (UNIDAD) at 49.7%, Christian Democratic Party (PDC) at 49.5%, and Libre – Liberty and Democracy (LIBRE) at 49.0% for most gubernatorial wins. TSE quick counts show LIBRE prevailing in Santa Cruz (Juan Pablo Velasco, 57%) and Pando (Gabriela de Paiva), PDC-linked Camino Democrático in Tarija (María René Soruco, 71%), and UNIDAD-aligned coalitions potentially claiming Beni (Jesús Egüez) and La Paz (Luis Revilla), while others like Gente Nueva in Chuquisaca split the rest. Traders await official OEP certification and party attributions for multi-alliance candidacies, as coalition ambiguities and any challenges could shift the plurality; historical subnational fragmentation underscores the tight race absent a dominant force.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes