Recent voter registration drives by the Electoral Commission of Zambia added hundreds of thousands of new eligible participants to a register now exceeding 8.7 million ahead of the August 13, 2026, polls. Historical turnout near 70 percent in 2021, combined with strong incumbent support in recent surveys and opposition mobilization efforts, creates competing pressures on participation rates. Pre-election assessments highlight ongoing reforms aimed at transparency and inclusivity, yet economic conditions and varying levels of voter confidence continue to shape mobilization. These factors leave traders assigning similar probabilities across the 50-80 percent+ brackets, as campaign intensity, turnout among newly registered voters, and any late shifts in public engagement could still alter the final percentage.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedZambia Presidential Election 1st Round: Turnout
Zambia Presidential Election 1st Round: Turnout
<50% 41%
70-80% 39%
80%+ 39%
60-70% 39%
NEW
NEW
Aug 14, 2026
<50%
41%
50-60%
38%
60-70%
39%
70-80%
39%
80%+
39%
<50% 41%
70-80% 39%
80%+ 39%
60-70% 39%
NEW
NEW
Aug 14, 2026
<50%
$0 Vol.
41%
50-60%
$0 Vol.
38%
60-70%
$0 Vol.
39%
70-80%
$0 Vol.
39%
80%+
$0 Vol.
39%
The first round of the 2026 Zambian presidential elections is currently scheduled to be held on August 13, 2026, with a potential second round within 37 days thereafter.
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the first round of the 2026 Zambian presidential election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of registered voters.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the Zambian government, including the Electoral Commission of Zambia (https://www.elections.org.zm/).Recent voter registration drives by the Electoral Commission of Zambia added hundreds of thousands of new eligible participants to a register now exceeding 8.7 million ahead of the August 13, 2026, polls. Historical turnout near 70 percent in 2021, combined with strong incumbent support in recent surveys and opposition mobilization efforts, creates competing pressures on participation rates. Pre-election assessments highlight ongoing reforms aimed at transparency and inclusivity, yet economic conditions and varying levels of voter confidence continue to shape mobilization. These factors leave traders assigning similar probabilities across the 50-80 percent+ brackets, as campaign intensity, turnout among newly registered voters, and any late shifts in public engagement could still alter the final percentage.
The first round of the 2026 Zambian presidential elections is currently scheduled to be held on August 13, 2026, with a potential second round within 37 days thereafter.
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the first round of the 2026 Zambian presidential election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of registered voters.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the Zambian government, including the Electoral Commission of Zambia (https://www.elections.org.zm/).
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the first round of the 2026 Zambian presidential election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of registered voters.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the Zambian government, including the Electoral Commission of Zambia (https://www.elections.org.zm/).
Market Opened: Jun 5, 2026, 4:09 PM ET
Volume
$0End Date
Aug 14, 2026Market Opened
Jun 5, 2026, 4:09 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The first round of the 2026 Zambian presidential elections is currently scheduled to be held on August 13, 2026, with a potential second round within 37 days thereafter.
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the first round of the 2026 Zambian presidential election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of registered voters.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the Zambian government, including the Electoral Commission of Zambia (https://www.elections.org.zm/).Recent voter registration drives by the Electoral Commission of Zambia added hundreds of thousands of new eligible participants to a register now exceeding 8.7 million ahead of the August 13, 2026, polls. Historical turnout near 70 percent in 2021, combined with strong incumbent support in recent surveys and opposition mobilization efforts, creates competing pressures on participation rates. Pre-election assessments highlight ongoing reforms aimed at transparency and inclusivity, yet economic conditions and varying levels of voter confidence continue to shape mobilization. These factors leave traders assigning similar probabilities across the 50-80 percent+ brackets, as campaign intensity, turnout among newly registered voters, and any late shifts in public engagement could still alter the final percentage.
The first round of the 2026 Zambian presidential elections is currently scheduled to be held on August 13, 2026, with a potential second round within 37 days thereafter.
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the first round of the 2026 Zambian presidential election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of registered voters.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the Zambian government, including the Electoral Commission of Zambia (https://www.elections.org.zm/).
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the first round of the 2026 Zambian presidential election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of registered voters.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the Zambian government, including the Electoral Commission of Zambia (https://www.elections.org.zm/).
Volume
$0End Date
Aug 14, 2026Market Opened
Jun 5, 2026, 4:09 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent voter registration drives by the Electoral Commission of Zambia added hundreds of thousands of new eligible participants to a register now exceeding 8.7 million ahead of the August 13, 2026, polls. Historical turnout near 70 percent in 2021, combined with strong incumbent support in recent surveys and opposition mobilization efforts, creates competing pressures on participation rates. Pre-election assessments highlight ongoing reforms aimed at transparency and inclusivity, yet economic conditions and varying levels of voter confidence continue to shape mobilization. These factors leave traders assigning similar probabilities across the 50-80 percent+ brackets, as campaign intensity, turnout among newly registered voters, and any late shifts in public engagement could still alter the final percentage.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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